Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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FNUS72 KRAH 271305
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEWO 4D...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
905 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CAROLINAS TODAY AND WILL BECOME
QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE AREA THROUGH LATE IN THE WORK WEEK,
BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3400 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............79     79     72
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............       CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................78     81     81
RH..................74     67     67
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   S 2    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........2000   2900   3400
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   W 7    SW 6
LVORI...............3      3      3
ADI.................17     21     21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............72     77     75     75     72     66
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................80     76     74     72     72     71
RH..................69     79     82     84     84     87
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 2    S 1    S 1    S 2    SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5                    5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........3400   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......S 6    S 6    S 3    S 2    S 3    SW 5
LVORI...............3      5      5      5      6      6
ADI.................12     2      2      1      2      2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............67     76     70     68     68     70
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................70     70     75     78     80     80
RH..................90     90     79     74     69     67
20 FT WIND..........SW 2   S 2    SW 3   SW 5   S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    1300   2400   3500   4000
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 3   S 6    SW 8   SW 13  SW 16  SW 15
LVORI...............7      5      5      3      1      1
ADI.................2      5      5      26     42     42

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS CRATE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160927.WEWO4.01/RAH


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