Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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000
FNUS76 KSTO 010536
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MT  ELIZABETH...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1036 PM PDT FRI OCT 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 PDT ON NOVEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATELY STRONG PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE BURN SITE
THIS (SATURDAY) MORNING...AND MOVING EAST OF THE SITE THIS
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY ENDING BY EARLY
THIS (SATURDAY) EVENING. TOTAL STORM RAINFALL AROUND 1.50 INCHES
EXPECTED. A DRYING AND WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED STARTING SUNDAY
AND LASTING AT LEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE REBUILDS OVER THE REGION.


.TODAY (SATURDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS MAY BE MIXED WITH SNOW
                    AT TIMES OR TURN TO SNOW AT THE HIGHER
                    ELEVATIONS
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    DECREASING TO UP TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 1500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    DECREASING TO UP TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NEARLY CALM IN THE EVENING...SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   RIDGETOP.........NEARLY CALM IN THE EVENING...BECOMING NORTH
                    TO NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHWEST TO NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 3000 TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST TO NORTH UP TO 7 MPH.


FORECASTER...JHM
REQUESTED BY...STEVE BARAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141101.MTELI.01/STO

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