Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FNUS73 KUNR 141351
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for THUNDER BUTTE RX...SD-CRA
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
751 AM MDT Mon Aug 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on August 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...There is a slight chance of showers this morning as a
weak disturbance crosses the region. There is a good chance of
thunderstorms tonight. Gusty and erratic winds are expected with
the thunderstorms this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200 to 4700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........97-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
CWR.................50 percent.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
CWR.................60 percent.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800 to 2300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

$$
Forecaster...GR
Requested by...LELAND H BLACK
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1714371.0/UNR
.EMAIL leland.black@bia.gov


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