Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 191052
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
452 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
452 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late afternoon and tonight.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mainly tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers along with a few thunderstorms will be possible through
the day and into tonight as a very moist airmass remains across the
region. There is a slim chance of a few severe thunderstorms across
northeast Oklahoma later this afternoon as a cold front and dryline
approaches. The marginal severe weather chances will extend into the
overnight hours as the low-level jet increases. The main threat from any
severe storm would be large hail.

South winds will remain breezy through the day and into tonight with
frequent gusts over 30 mph likely.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain
Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase by Tuesday and Tuesday
night as the cold front begins to push into the region. Locally heavy
rainfall is likely across portions of southeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas with around 1 to 3 inches of rain possible.

A period of light freezing rain will be possible across parts of
northeast Oklahoma late Tuesday night into early Wednesday before
temperatures rise a little above freezing. There still remains many
uncertainties concerning the icing potential, so stay aware of the
latest forecasts.

Warmer weather is expected later this week and into the weekend,
although the unsettled pattern will continue. Rain chances are forecast
to ramp up again late Thursday into Friday, with additional heavy
rainfall possible.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$


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