River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 181321
RVFAGL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:21am EST Thursday, December 18, 2014

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Parker - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 845.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     29.6 ft
: Major River Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /   4.8
:     Dec 17   /   5.2 /   5.6 /   5.7 /   6.1
:     Dec 18   /   6.9 /   7.7 /   7.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 7.0 ft at 800am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER PARP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /   6.9
.E2 : Dec 19 : /   6.9 /   6.7 /   6.5 /   6.3
.E3 : Dec 20 : /   6.1 /   5.9 /   5.8 /   5.7
.E4 : Dec 21 : /   5.5 /   5.4 /   5.3 /   5.2
.E5 : Dec 22 : /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E6 : Dec 23 : /   4.9 /   4.9 /   4.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.25
:     Dec 17   /  0.12 /  0.05 /  0.03 /  0.00
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   5.0
:     Dec 16   /   7.0 /   3.9 /   2.4 /   4.5
:     Dec 17   /   7.3 /   5.1 /   3.4 /   0.5
:     Dec 18   /  -1.4 /  -2.8 /  -3.4 /  -1.6
:     Dec 19   /  -1.0 /  -2.5 /  -2.5 /  -1.4
:     Dec 20   /  -0.9 /  -2.8 /  -4.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: St Charles - Redbank Creek - PBZ
: Zero Datum 973.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     23.9 ft
: Major River Stage      22.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /   4.1
:     Dec 17   /   4.3 /   4.4 /   4.6 /   5.0
:     Dec 18   /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.0 ft at 815am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER SNCP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /   5.0
.E2 : Dec 19 : /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.8
.E3 : Dec 20 : /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.4
.E4 : Dec 21 : /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.1
.E5 : Dec 22 : /   4.1 /   4.0 /   4.0 /   3.9
.E6 : Dec 23 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.27
:     Dec 17   /  0.13 /  0.04 /  0.03 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   4.5
:     Dec 16   /   5.7 /   2.8 /   1.0 /   3.4
:     Dec 17   /   5.6 /   5.2 /   3.7 /   1.3
:     Dec 18   /  -0.8 /  -2.3 /  -3.2 /  -1.9
:     Dec 19   /  -1.3 /  -2.9 /  -3.2 /  -1.5
:     Dec 20   /  -1.1 /  -3.0 /  -4.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Kittanning L&D 7 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 773.4 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     30.7 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /  11.7
:     Dec 17   /  11.7 /  11.9 /  12.0 /  12.2
:     Dec 18   /  12.4 /  12.8 /  13.2
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 13.2 ft at 800am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER KTTP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /  13.2
.E2 : Dec 19 : /  13.4 /  13.3 /  13.3 /  13.1
.E3 : Dec 20 : /  13.0 /  12.9 /  12.8 /  12.7
.E4 : Dec 21 : /  12.6 /  12.6 /  12.5 /  12.4
.E5 : Dec 22 : /  12.4 /  12.3 /  12.3 /  12.2
.E6 : Dec 23 : /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.27
:     Dec 17   /  0.17 /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   5.9
:     Dec 16   /   7.2 /   3.5 /   2.3 /   5.6
:     Dec 17   /   8.8 /   6.0 /   4.2 /   2.0
:     Dec 18   /   0.2 /  -1.5 /  -2.5 /  -1.6
:     Dec 19   /  -0.8 /  -2.5 /  -2.6 /  -0.4
:     Dec 20   /  -0.9 /  -3.2 /  -3.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Seward - Conemaugh River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1076.01 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record River Stage     26.4 ft
: Major River Stage      16.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      8.8 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /   2.7
:     Dec 17   /   2.9 /   3.2 /   3.5 /   3.5
:     Dec 18   /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.3 ft at 745am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER SWDP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /   3.2
.E2 : Dec 19 : /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.2
.E3 : Dec 20 : /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.0
.E4 : Dec 21 : /   3.0 /   3.0 /   3.0 /   2.9
.E5 : Dec 22 : /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
.E6 : Dec 23 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.31
:     Dec 17   /  0.29 /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   4.1
:     Dec 16   /   5.8 /   3.5 /   3.9 /   4.9
:     Dec 17   /   6.8 /   5.0 /   2.8 /   0.8
:     Dec 18   /  -0.7 /  -2.3 /  -3.8 /  -3.4
:     Dec 19   /  -2.5 /  -3.5 /  -4.1 /  -2.3
:     Dec 20   /  -1.3 /  -3.8 /  -4.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clinton Lk #6 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 759.96 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.4 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /  10.5
:     Dec 17   /  10.3 /  10.6 /  10.7 /  10.9
:     Dec 18   /  11.1 /  11.6 /  12.1
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.2 ft at 800am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER CLNP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /  12.3
.E2 : Dec 19 : /  12.3 /  12.3 /  12.2 /  12.1
.E3 : Dec 20 : /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.8 /  11.8
.E4 : Dec 21 : /  11.7 /  11.7 /  11.6 /  11.6
.E5 : Dec 22 : /  11.5 /  11.5 /  11.4 /  11.4
.E6 : Dec 23 : /  11.4 /  11.3 /  11.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.29
:     Dec 17   /  0.13 /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   6.1
:     Dec 16   /   7.5 /   3.9 /   2.8 /   6.4
:     Dec 17   /   9.4 /   6.2 /   4.4 /   2.1
:     Dec 18   /   0.4 /  -1.4 /  -2.3 /  -1.4
:     Dec 19   /  -0.7 /  -2.3 /  -2.6 /  -0.2
:     Dec 20   /  -0.7 /  -3.2 /  -3.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Natrona L&D #4 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 736.04 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /  12.2
:     Dec 17   /  12.1 /  12.2 /  12.3 /  12.4
:     Dec 18   /  12.5 /  12.9 /  13.3
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 13.3 ft at 715am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER NATP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /  13.6
.E2 : Dec 19 : /  13.7 /  13.8 /  13.8 /  13.7
.E3 : Dec 20 : /  13.5 /  13.4 /  13.3 /  13.2
.E4 : Dec 21 : /  13.2 /  13.0 /  12.9 /  12.9
.E5 : Dec 22 : /  12.8 /  12.8 /  12.7 /  12.6
.E6 : Dec 23 : /  12.6 /  12.6 /  12.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.29
:     Dec 17   /  0.12 /  0.04 /  0.02 /  0.02
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   6.0
:     Dec 16   /   7.5 /   3.9 /   3.1 /   7.0
:     Dec 17   /   9.7 /   6.2 /   4.3 /   2.1
:     Dec 18   /   0.5 /  -1.2 /  -2.2 /  -1.5
:     Dec 19   /  -0.6 /  -2.1 /  -2.7 /  -0.2
:     Dec 20   /  -0.3 /  -2.8 /  -3.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: C.W. Bill Young L&D - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 725.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     31.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      17.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     15.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /  11.4E
:     Dec 17   /  11.4E/  11.4E/  11.6 /  11.6
:     Dec 18   /  11.7 /  12.0 /  12.3
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.3 ft at 715am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER ACMP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /  12.5
.E2 : Dec 19 : /  12.6 /  12.8 /  12.7 /  12.7
.E3 : Dec 20 : /  12.6 /  12.5 /  12.4 /  12.4
.E4 : Dec 21 : /  12.3 /  12.2 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E5 : Dec 22 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.8
.E6 : Dec 23 : /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.30
:     Dec 17   /  0.10 /  0.04 /  0.02 /  0.02
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   6.0
:     Dec 16   /   7.6 /   3.9 /   3.0 /   7.2
:     Dec 17   /   9.7 /   6.1 /   4.2 /   2.0
:     Dec 18   /   0.4 /  -1.2 /  -2.2 /  -1.6
:     Dec 19   /  -0.7 /  -2.1 /  -2.8 /  -0.5
:     Dec 20   /  -0.1 /  -2.7 /  -3.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sharpsburg L&D #2 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 711.96 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.9 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.3 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 16                           /  11.5
:     Dec 17   /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.6 /  11.7
:     Dec 18   /  11.8 /  12.0 /  12.3
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.3 ft at 800am EST on Thu, Dec 18
:
.ER SHRP1 20141218 Z DC201412181321/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Dec 18 :                         /  12.7
.E2 : Dec 19 : /  13.0 /  13.0 /  13.1 /  13.1
.E3 : Dec 20 : /  13.0 /  12.8 /  12.7 /  12.6
.E4 : Dec 21 : /  12.6 /  12.5 /  12.3 /  12.3
.E5 : Dec 22 : /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E6 : Dec 23 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /  0.00
:     Dec 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.26
:     Dec 17   /  0.09 /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.02
:     Dec 18   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 18                           /  0.00
:     Dec 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Dec 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Dec 15                           /   6.1
:     Dec 16   /   7.7 /   3.9 /   3.1 /   7.2
:     Dec 17   /   9.6 /   6.0 /   4.1 /   1.9
:     Dec 18   /   0.4 /  -1.3 /  -2.3 /  -1.6
:     Dec 19   /  -0.6 /  -2.1 /  -2.7 /  -0.6
:     Dec 20   /   0.0 /  -2.5 /  -3.5
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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