River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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551
FGUS51 KTAR 232012
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
0311 PM EST Tue Jan 23 2018
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.27 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:
.ER ATTN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     5.3
.E2 :0124:/     5.0/     4.8/     4.6/     4.5
.E3 :0125:/     4.3/     4.2/     4.1/     4.1
.E4 :0126:/     4.0/     4.0/     4.0
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.12 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:
.ER BTVN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     4.6
.E2 :0124:/     5.0/     5.0/     4.8/     4.6
.E3 :0125:/     4.2/     3.9/     3.7/     3.5
.E4 :0126:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.06 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:Crest 8.52 at Jan-26 1am
:
.ER RAPN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     5.8
.E2 :0124:/     6.8/     7.5/     7.9/     8.1
.E3 :0125:/     8.3/     8.3/     8.4/     8.5
.E4 :0126:/     8.5/     8.4/     8.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.88 ft at Jan-23 02:15 pm
:
.ER GOWN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     5.9
.E2 :0124:/     5.3/     4.9/     4.5/     4.3
.E3 :0125:/     4.0/     3.8/     3.7/     3.6
.E4 :0126:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.36 ft at Jan-23 02:15 pm
:
.ER GDVN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     4.2
.E2 :0124:/     3.8/     3.4/     3.0/     2.8
.E3 :0125:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :0126:/     1.9/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.11 ft at Jan-23 02:30 pm
:
.ER LCSN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     5.7
.E2 :0124:/     5.3/     5.1/     4.9/     4.8
.E3 :0125:/     4.7/     4.6/     4.6/     4.5
.E4 :0126:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 7.03 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:
.ER EBZN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     6.3
.E2 :0124:/     5.7/     5.4/     5.0/     4.7
.E3 :0125:/     4.4/     4.2/     4.0/     3.8
.E4 :0126:/     3.6/     3.5/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.37 ft at Jan-23 02:46 pm
:Crest 6.51 at Jan-24 7am
:
.ER WILN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     5.0
.E2 :0124:/     6.1/     6.5/     6.0/     5.6
.E3 :0125:/     5.1/     4.6/     4.2/     3.8
.E4 :0126:/     3.6/     3.4/     3.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 7.51 ft at Jan-23 02:45 pm
:
.ER WLLN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     7.4
.E2 :0124:/     7.1/     6.8/     6.6/     6.4
.E3 :0125:/     6.2/     6.1/     6.0/     5.9
.E4 :0126:/     5.8/     5.8/     5.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 13.63 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:
.ER PRTN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/    13.7
.E2 :0124:/    13.3/    12.9/    12.5/    12.2
.E3 :0125:/    12.0/    11.8/    11.6/    11.5
.E4 :0126:/    11.3/    11.2/    11.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 641.87 ft at Jan-23 02:00 pm
:Crest 661.20 at Jan-28 1pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/   644.1
.E2 :0124:/   646.9/   649.4/   651.4/   653.0
.E3 :0125:/   654.3/   655.5/   656.4/   657.2
.E4 :0126:/   657.9/   658.5/   659.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 31.82 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:
.ER AVON6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/    31.9
.E2 :0124:/    31.6/    31.2/    30.7/    30.1
.E3 :0125:/    29.5/    29.0/    28.5/    28.0
.E4 :0126:/    27.5/    27.1/    26.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.40 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:
.ER GRBN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     4.7
.E2 :0124:/     4.9/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E3 :0125:/     4.7/     4.6/     4.4/     4.3
.E4 :0126:/     4.2/     4.0/     3.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.72 ft at Jan-23 03:00 pm
:
.ER CHRN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     3.9
.E2 :0124:/     4.2/     4.5/     4.7/     4.8
.E3 :0125:/     4.8/     4.7/     4.5/     4.3
.E4 :0126:/     4.1/     3.9/     3.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:
.ER RHRN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/    13.4
.E2 :0124:/    13.6/    13.5/    13.3/    13.0
.E3 :0125:/    12.7/    12.3/    12.0/    11.6
.E4 :0126:/    11.3/    11.0/    10.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.45 ft at Jan-23 02:00 pm
:
.ER HNYN6 20180123 E DC201801231511/DH19/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0123:       ::       ::       ::/     3.3
.E2 :0124:/     3.2/     2.9/     2.7/     2.5
.E3 :0125:/     2.4/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :0126:/     2.1/     2.0/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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