River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 211339
RVFMNL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:39am EDT Thursday, August 21, 2014

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Confluence - Youghiogheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1302.8 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     21.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      7.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /   2.5
:     Aug 20   /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.4 /   2.5
:     Aug 21   /   2.5 /   2.5 /   2.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.6 ft at 845am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER CNFP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /   2.6
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   2.5 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.7
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   2.9 /   3.2 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E4 : Aug 24 : /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.1 /   3.0
.E5 : Aug 25 : /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
.E6 : Aug 26 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.03 /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.09
:     Aug 20   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.09 /  0.29
:     Aug 21   /  0.03 /  0.11 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.03
:     Aug 22   /  0.17 /  0.10 /  0.06 /  0.39
:     Aug 23   /  0.38 /  0.06 /  0.03
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  21.6
:     Aug 19   /  23.3 /  19.3 /  18.2 /  20.4
:     Aug 20   /  23.4 /  19.1 /  17.0 /  19.6
:     Aug 21   /  23.7 /  19.0 /  17.4 /  22.8
:     Aug 22   /  24.2 /  20.3 /  18.4 /  20.8
:     Aug 23   /  22.4 /  18.2 /  16.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Ohiopyle - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1164.67 ft (NAVD 1988)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     14.8 ft
: Major River Stage      25.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /   1.9E
:     Aug 20   /   2.0E/   1.9E/   1.9 /   1.9
:     Aug 21   /   1.9 /   1.9 /   2.0
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.0 ft at 915am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER OPLP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /   2.1
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.2 /   2.3
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   2.7 /   3.2 /   3.6 /   3.6
.E4 : Aug 24 : /   3.5 /   3.3 /   3.1 /   2.9
.E5 : Aug 25 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E6 : Aug 26 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.17 /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.12
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09 /  0.26
:     Aug 21   /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.04
:     Aug 22   /  0.18 /  0.12 /  0.07 /  0.40
:     Aug 23   /  0.34 /  0.05 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  21.9
:     Aug 19   /  23.8 /  19.7 /  18.3 /  20.9
:     Aug 20   /  24.4 /  19.7 /  16.9 /  19.3
:     Aug 21   /  23.9 /  18.9 /  17.1 /  22.4
:     Aug 22   /  24.4 /  20.3 /  17.9 /  21.0
:     Aug 23   /  23.3 /  18.9 /  16.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Connellsville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 860.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record River Stage     22.0 ft
: Major River Stage      18.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /   2.5
:     Aug 20   /   2.5 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.8
:     Aug 21   /   3.0 /   3.1 /   2.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.9 ft at 915am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER CLLP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /   2.9
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.8 /   3.0
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   3.3 /   3.8 /   4.2 /   4.4
.E4 : Aug 24 : /   4.3 /   4.2 /   3.9 /   3.7
.E5 : Aug 25 : /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.4 /   3.3
.E6 : Aug 26 : /   3.2 /   3.2 /   3.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.02 /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.11
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.31 /  0.48
:     Aug 21   /  0.01 /  0.05 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.04
:     Aug 22   /  0.18 /  0.12 /  0.08 /  0.43
:     Aug 23   /  0.32 /  0.05 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  22.2
:     Aug 19   /  24.5 /  20.2 /  18.7 /  21.7
:     Aug 20   /  25.3 /  20.3 /  17.8 /  19.5
:     Aug 21   /  24.3 /  19.5 /  17.7 /  22.8
:     Aug 22   /  25.2 /  20.8 /  18.1 /  21.7
:     Aug 23   /  24.5 /  20.2 /  17.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sutersville - Youghiogheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 733.36 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record River Stage     32.5 ft
: Major River Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   21.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /   3.5
:     Aug 20   /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.6 /   4.1
:     Aug 21   /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.7 ft at 915am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER STSP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /   4.5
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.5 /   4.6
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   5.0 /   5.5 /   5.9 /   6.1
.E4 : Aug 24 : /   6.1 /   5.9 /   5.7 /   5.4
.E5 : Aug 25 : /   5.2 /   5.0 /   4.8 /   4.7
.E6 : Aug 26 : /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.40 /  0.82
:     Aug 21   /  0.02 /  0.08 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.04
:     Aug 22   /  0.18 /  0.12 /  0.09 /  0.45
:     Aug 23   /  0.26 /  0.03 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  23.9
:     Aug 19   /  26.9 /  21.7 /  19.8 /  24.0
:     Aug 20   /  28.4 /  22.2 /  19.0 /  20.5
:     Aug 21   /  26.1 /  20.6 /  18.4 /  24.0
:     Aug 22   /  26.8 /  21.9 /  18.5 /  22.5
:     Aug 23   /  25.9 /  21.6 /  18.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Maxwell L&D - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 734.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Fayette County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     44.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   34.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      32.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     23.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /   9.9
:     Aug 20   /   9.9 /  10.0 /   9.7 /   9.8
:     Aug 21   /  10.4 /  10.5 /   9.9
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 10.0 ft at 900am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER MAXP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /   9.8
.E2 : Aug 22 : /   9.7 /   9.8 /   9.7 /   9.7
.E3 : Aug 23 : /   9.9 /  10.9 /  10.9 /  11.1
.E4 : Aug 24 : /  11.7 /  12.5 /  11.2 /  10.6
.E5 : Aug 25 : /  10.4 /  10.9 /  10.2 /  10.0
.E6 : Aug 26 : /  10.1 /  10.9 /  10.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.44 /  0.26
:     Aug 21   /  0.00 /  0.19 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.05
:     Aug 22   /  0.18 /  0.16 /  0.10 /  0.42
:     Aug 23   /  0.26 /  0.05 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  24.4
:     Aug 19   /  26.9 /  21.5 /  19.6 /  23.6
:     Aug 20   /  28.1 /  22.0 /  19.1 /  20.7
:     Aug 21   /  25.9 /  20.2 /  19.0 /  24.5
:     Aug 22   /  27.0 /  22.0 /  19.0 /  23.1
:     Aug 23   /  26.1 /  21.4 /  18.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Charleroi - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record Tailwater Stage     42.7 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      35.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   31.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      28.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     22.6 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /  10.5
:     Aug 20   /  10.4 /  10.6 /  10.7 /  10.7
:     Aug 21   /  11.6 /  12.4 /  11.8
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 11.7 ft at 900am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER CHRP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /  11.5
.E2 : Aug 22 : /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.2 /  10.2
.E3 : Aug 23 : /  11.4 /  13.4 /  13.6 /  13.9
.E4 : Aug 24 : /  14.8 /  15.9 /  14.0 /  12.9
.E5 : Aug 25 : /  12.7 /  13.5 /  12.2 /  11.8
.E6 : Aug 26 : /  12.0 /  13.4 /  12.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.43 /  0.55
:     Aug 21   /  0.07 /  0.30 /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.04
:     Aug 22   /  0.18 /  0.15 /  0.10 /  0.42
:     Aug 23   /  0.25 /  0.03 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  24.1
:     Aug 19   /  27.0 /  21.9 /  19.8 /  23.6
:     Aug 20   /  28.4 /  22.2 /  19.1 /  20.4
:     Aug 21   /  26.0 /  20.3 /  18.6 /  24.3
:     Aug 22   /  26.9 /  22.0 /  18.8 /  22.7
:     Aug 23   /  26.0 /  21.6 /  18.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Elizabeth - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 717.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.5 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      20.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /  10.3
:     Aug 20   /  10.1 /  10.3 /  10.5 /  10.5
:     Aug 21   /  10.9 /  11.6 /  11.4
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 11.3 ft at 915am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER ELZP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /  10.7
.E2 : Aug 22 : /  10.5 /  10.8 /  10.5 /  10.5
.E3 : Aug 23 : /  11.2 /  12.2 /  12.3 /  12.5
.E4 : Aug 24 : /  12.9 /  13.5 /  12.5 /  11.9
.E5 : Aug 25 : /  11.8 /  12.2 /  11.5 /  11.3
.E6 : Aug 26 : /  11.4 /  12.1 /  11.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.71 /  0.61
:     Aug 21   /  0.08 /  0.13 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.04
:     Aug 22   /  0.18 /  0.14 /  0.10 /  0.44
:     Aug 23   /  0.18 /  0.02 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  23.4
:     Aug 19   /  27.2 /  21.6 /  18.9 /  24.2
:     Aug 20   /  28.8 /  22.5 /  19.0 /  20.4
:     Aug 21   /  26.0 /  20.0 /  18.6 /  24.1
:     Aug 22   /  26.8 /  22.2 /  18.8 /  22.7
:     Aug 23   /  26.1 /  22.1 /  18.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Braddock - Monongahela River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 709.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     35.3 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      22.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 19                           /  11.9
:     Aug 20   /  12.5 /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.2
:     Aug 21   /  11.7 /  12.2 /  12.2
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.1 ft at 845am EDT on Thu, Aug 21
:
.ER BDDP1 20140821 Z DC201408211339/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Aug 21 :                         /  12.0
.E2 : Aug 22 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E3 : Aug 23 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E4 : Aug 24 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.1 /  12.0
.E5 : Aug 25 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E6 : Aug 26 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  12.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  0.00
:     Aug 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Aug 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.74 /  0.64
:     Aug 21   /  0.01 /  0.05 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 21                           /  0.03
:     Aug 22   /  0.18 /  0.13 /  0.10 /  0.44
:     Aug 23   /  0.19 /  0.02 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Aug 18                           /  23.0
:     Aug 19   /  27.1 /  21.4 /  19.0 /  24.5
:     Aug 20   /  29.0 /  22.4 /  18.9 /  20.2
:     Aug 21   /  26.2 /  20.6 /  18.2 /  24.0
:     Aug 22   /  26.9 /  22.4 /  19.0 /  22.8
:     Aug 23   /  26.2 /  22.2 /  18.6
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Davis
:...END of MESSAGE...




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