River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 210238
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:37pm EST Tuesday, February 20, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 2PM EST on Thu, Feb 22
.AR MKLK2 20180223 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   52.0
: Crest near   52.0 ft around 7AM EST on Fri, Feb 23
: Fall below flood level around 3AM EST on Sat, Feb 24
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  47.6 /  48.0E/  48.4
:     Feb 20   /  48.8 /  49.3 /  49.5 /  49.8
:     Feb 21   /  50.1
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 50.2 ft at 845pm EST on Tue, Feb 20
:
.ER MKLK2 20180221 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 21 :         /  50.4 /  50.6 /  50.7
.E2 : Feb 22 : /  50.7 /  50.6 /  50.7 /  50.9
.E3 : Feb 23 : /  51.4 /  51.9 /  52.0 /  51.9
.E4 : Feb 24 : /  51.6 /  51.2 /  50.7 /  50.3
.E5 : Feb 25 : /  49.9 /  49.5 /  49.1 /  48.7
.E6 : Feb 26 : /  48.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.02
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 21           /  0.00 /  0.15 /  0.27
:     Feb 22   /  0.21 /  0.30 /  0.59 /  0.24
:     Feb 23   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /   1.7 /   0.2 /   1.8
:     Feb 19   /   7.5 /   5.3 /   8.7 /  15.8
:     Feb 20   /  21.7 /  18.4 /  16.5 /  20.0
:     Feb 21   /  24.4 /  19.7 /  18.2 /  11.4
:     Feb 22   /   7.3 /   6.0 /   4.7 /   4.8
:     Feb 23   /   7.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clifty Creek - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 403.153 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Jefferson County, IN
: Record River Stage    475.9 ft
: Major River Stage     470.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  457.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     451.0 ft
: Action River Stage    449.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 7PM EST on Thu, Feb 22
.AR CLFI3 20180223 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:  451.6
: Crest near  451.6 ft around 1AM EST on Fri, Feb 23
: Fall below flood level around 6PM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           / 446.5E/ 446.9 / 447.3E
:     Feb 20   / 447.6E/ 448.0E/ 448.4E/ 448.7E
:     Feb 21   / 449.0E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER CLFI3 20180221 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 21 :         / 449.2 / 449.4 / 449.5
.E2 : Feb 22 : / 449.5 / 449.5 / 449.7 / 450.2
.E3 : Feb 23 : / 451.0 / 451.6 / 451.5 / 451.3
.E4 : Feb 24 : / 450.9 / 450.7 / 450.4 / 450.0
.E5 : Feb 25 : / 449.7 / 449.4 / 449.1 / 448.8
.E6 : Feb 26 : / 448.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 21           /  0.00 /  0.14 /  0.31
:     Feb 22   /  0.21 /  0.40 /  0.66 /  0.21
:     Feb 23   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /   2.2 /   0.0 /   1.8
:     Feb 19   /   8.3 /   6.1 /  10.3 /  16.7
:     Feb 20   /  22.0 /  18.2 /  17.0 /  20.1
:     Feb 21   /  24.4 /  19.5 /  18.2 /  12.6
:     Feb 22   /   8.0 /   6.3 /   5.4 /   5.7
:     Feb 23   /   8.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.18 ft (NAVD 88)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MLUK2 20180224 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH00/HPIFFX :crest:   28.3
: Crest near   28.3 ft around 7PM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  22.3 /  22.5 /  22.9
:     Feb 20   /  23.3 /  23.8 /  24.1 /  24.4
:     Feb 21   /  24.7
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 24.7 ft at 900pm EST on Tue, Feb 20
:
.ER MLUK2 20180221 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 21 :         /  25.0 /  25.2 /  25.5
.E2 : Feb 22 : /  25.8 /  26.0 /  26.3 /  26.8
.E3 : Feb 23 : /  27.2 /  27.6 /  27.9 /  28.2
.E4 : Feb 24 : /  28.3 /  28.3 /  28.1 /  27.9
.E5 : Feb 25 : /  27.7 /  27.4 /  27.1 /  26.7
.E6 : Feb 26 : /  26.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 21           /  0.00 /  0.17 /  0.33
:     Feb 22   /  0.24 /  0.42 /  0.66 /  0.16
:     Feb 23   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /   2.8 /  -0.1 /   2.2
:     Feb 19   /   9.1 /   7.1 /  11.0 /  17.7
:     Feb 20   /  22.8 /  18.9 /  18.1 /  20.7
:     Feb 21   /  24.8 /  20.0 /  18.5 /  12.3
:     Feb 22   /   8.0 /   6.8 /   6.1 /   6.7
:     Feb 23   /   9.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MLPK2 20180224 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH00/HTIFFX :crest:   59.2
: Crest near   59.2 ft around 7PM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  53.0 /  53.4 /  53.9
:     Feb 20   /  54.3 /  54.7 /  55.1 /  55.4
:     Feb 21   /  55.7
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 55.8 ft at 900pm EST on Tue, Feb 20
:
.ER MLPK2 20180221 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 21 :         /  55.9 /  56.1 /  56.4
.E2 : Feb 22 : /  56.6 /  56.9 /  57.2 /  57.6
.E3 : Feb 23 : /  58.0 /  58.4 /  58.7 /  59.0
.E4 : Feb 24 : /  59.2 /  59.2 /  59.1 /  58.9
.E5 : Feb 25 : /  58.7 /  58.4 /  58.1 /  57.8
.E6 : Feb 26 : /  57.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 21           /  0.00 /  0.17 /  0.33
:     Feb 22   /  0.24 /  0.42 /  0.66 /  0.16
:     Feb 23   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /   2.8 /  -0.1 /   2.2
:     Feb 19   /   9.1 /   7.1 /  11.0 /  17.7
:     Feb 20   /  22.8 /  18.9 /  18.1 /  20.7
:     Feb 21   /  24.8 /  20.0 /  18.5 /  12.3
:     Feb 22   /   8.0 /   6.8 /   6.1 /   6.7
:     Feb 23   /   9.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cannelton Dam - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 348.0 ft (Ohio River)
: Perry County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     60.8 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   46.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      42.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CNNI3 20180225 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   45.6
: Crest near   45.6 ft around 7AM EST on Sun, Feb 25
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  41.6 /  41.8 /  42.0
:     Feb 20   /  42.1 /  42.3 /  42.6 /  42.9
:     Feb 21   /  43.0
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 43.1 ft at 900pm EST on Tue, Feb 20
:
.ER CNNI3 20180221 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 21 :         /  43.2 /  43.3 /  43.4
.E2 : Feb 22 : /  43.5 /  43.8 /  44.2 /  44.6
.E3 : Feb 23 : /  44.9 /  45.0 /  45.1 /  45.4
.E4 : Feb 24 : /  45.5 /  45.5 /  45.5 /  45.5
.E5 : Feb 25 : /  45.5 /  45.6 /  45.6 /  45.6
.E6 : Feb 26 : /  45.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 21           /  0.00 /  0.28 /  0.38
:     Feb 22   /  0.28 /  0.44 /  0.62 /  0.07
:     Feb 23   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /   3.5 /   0.3 /   2.7
:     Feb 19   /  10.0 /   8.2 /  12.6 /  17.9
:     Feb 20   /  22.9 /  19.5 /  18.8 /  20.9
:     Feb 21   /  24.5 /  20.2 /  17.8 /  10.9
:     Feb 22   /   7.6 /   6.5 /   6.8 /   7.8
:     Feb 23   /  10.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Tell City - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 347.62 ft (NGVD 29)
: Perry County, IN
: Record River Stage     57.0 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   44.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      38.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR TELI3 20180225 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:   44.4
: Crest near   44.4 ft around 1PM EST on Sun, Feb 25
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19           /  41.0E/  41.1 /  41.3E
:     Feb 20   /  41.4E/  41.6E/  41.7E/  41.8E
:     Feb 21   /  41.9E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER TELI3 20180221 Z DC201802210237/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 21 :         /  41.9 /  42.0 /  42.1
.E2 : Feb 22 : /  42.3 /  42.5 /  42.9 /  43.4
.E3 : Feb 23 : /  43.7 /  43.8 /  44.0 /  44.2
.E4 : Feb 24 : /  44.3 /  44.3 /  44.3 /  44.3
.E5 : Feb 25 : /  44.4 /  44.4 /  44.4 /  44.4
.E6 : Feb 26 : /  44.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 21           /  0.00 /  0.28 /  0.38
:     Feb 22   /  0.28 /  0.44 /  0.62 /  0.07
:     Feb 23   /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 18           /   3.5 /   0.3 /   2.7
:     Feb 19   /  10.0 /   8.2 /  12.6 /  17.9
:     Feb 20   /  22.9 /  19.5 /  18.8 /  20.9
:     Feb 21   /  24.5 /  20.2 /  17.8 /  10.9
:     Feb 22   /   7.6 /   6.5 /   6.8 /   7.8
:     Feb 23   /  10.6
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Davis
:...END of MESSAGE...




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