Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 191442
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NCZ000-SCZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/19/14 1442Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1430Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU: 1051Z 0909Z 0750Z  DMSP SSMIS:1216Z 1205Z  NASA TRMM:1000Z
1130Z
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LOCATION...NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH CAROLINA...NE FLORIDA...SE GEORGIA...
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ATTN WFOS...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...LINGERING MODERATE TO HVY RAIN EASTERN NC...SMALL POCKET OF WARM
CLOUD TOP DEFORMATION PRECIP E GEORGIA...UNSTABLE OUT AHEAD OF UPPER
LOW FOR POSSIBLE CONVECTION NE FL/SE GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS PER SATELLITE HIGH LEVEL WINDS AND
WATER VAPOR LOOP UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS CENTERED OVER NORTHERN FL VIC OF
MADISON-SUWANNEE-LAFAYETTE COUNTY AND DRIFTING SLOWLY EAST.  IMPULSE WAS
ROTATING AROUND THE SOUTH PART OF THE LOW AND PUSHING THROUGH THE NW
FL GULF COAST.  WEAK JET WAS ACROSS C LA TO C FL AND THEN NORTH TO
SE NC-NE SC BORDER AND SHIFTING EAST.  WELL DEFINED MOISTURE PLUME OR
CONCENTRATION OF HIGHEST MOISTURE EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN YUCATAN TO
WESTERN CUBA TO THE SE FLORIDA COAST TO  JUST OFFSHORE SC AND COASTAL
NORTH CAROLINA. NARROW MOISTURE TRANSPORT ALONG PLUME WAS HELPING TO
PROVIDE THE MODERATE TO HVY RAINFALL TO PARTS OF THE NC COAST AND OFFSHORE
BUT MOTION AND TREND OF HIGHEST MOISTURE WAS EAST  FOR PUSHING AWAY FROM
THE SOUTHEAST COASTS.    TO THE NORTH...SHORT WAVE IN QUEBEC WAS DROPPING
SLOWLY SE AND IN COMBO WITH CENTRAL CANADA AND NORTH DAKOTA TROUGH WAS
HELPING TO FORCE DRY AIR/LOWER PWATS THAT WAS OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
LAST EVENING EAST AND SOUTHEAST OVER THE NORTHEAST AND FILTERING INTO
THE MID-ATLANTIC...EVEN LOOKS TO BE ERODING WEAK TROWAL MOISTURE IN S
CENTRAL VA AND C TO WESTERN NC.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1445-2100Z...HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...INSTABILITY THE NAME OF THE GAME FOR AREA CENTERED
ON NE FL/SE GA WHERE THERE HAS BEEN HEAVY RAIN PAST 24HRS...BUT NOT MUCH
LATELY.  GOES SOUNDER SHOWING LIS OF -3 TO -6 FROM E CENTRAL TO  NE FL/SE
GA AND MORE STABLE VALUES NORTH AND NW FROM THERE...SO THAT WILL BE AN
AREA THAT CAN HAVE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL, ESPECIALLY WITH SOME HEATING
THAT COULD PRODUCE MORE SHOWERY MODERATE TO HVY RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
WITH UPPER LOW ALSO COMING OVER THE AREA AND MODERATE MOISTURE STILL
HANGING AROUND.  FURTHER NORTH AND MORE FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THE GREAT SQUEEZE PLAY GOING ON WITH DRY AIR
TRYING TO FILTER SOUTH THRU THE DELMARVA AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SHORT
WAVE PIVOT NOW ACROSS INTERIOR SE NC TO E CENTRAL NC WITH SOME LINGERING
MODERATE/OCCASIONAL HVY FOR AT LEAST A FEW MORE HOURS.  NOT MUCH CONCERN
FOR ANY ACTIVE TROWAL AS DRY AIR SAYING A LOT ABOUT THAT AND ERODING PART
ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NC AND WILL MIGRATE EAST TO KEEP BEST PRECIP
ALONG COAST E CENTRAL NC AND OFFSHORE THIS PERIOD.  AS WPC HAS MENTIONED
IN ITS LATEST EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...NO ORGANIZED AREAS
OF RAINFALL EXPECTED TO EXCEED FF GUIDANCE.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
.
FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3613 7503 3051 7807 2979 8175 3165 8245 3351 8065

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