Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 221525
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/22/14 1524Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13/15 1500Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...NW KANSAS...W NEBRASKA...COLORADO...NEW MEXICO...
LOCATION...SE WYOMING...
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ATTN WFOS...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...GJT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...CBRFC...
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EVENT...MAIN FOCUS ACROSS NM..COLORADO INTO THE WEST CENTRAL PLAINS AND
IN PARTICULAR CURRENT HVY RAIN AREA NE COLORADO INTO SW NEBRASKA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BROAD PICTURE ITEMS THAT WILL BEGIN OR
CONTINUE TO IMPACT NM/CO AREAS AND SURROUNDING AREAS AND OUT INTO THE
WEST CENTRAL PLAINS IS ANOMALOUS UPPER LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS N
CENTRAL AZ TOWARD SE UTAH.  BROAD DEEP MOISTURE AREA THAT IN THE MID TO
UPPER LEVELS HAD A CONNECTION TO THE HIGHER LEVEL MOISTURE OF LOWELL THAT
WAS STEERING INTO CENTRAL MEXICO AND THEN BEING DRAWN NORTH INTO NM..CO
AND THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  DEPTH OF THE MOISTURE MODERATE AND TRANSLATES
INTO A 1-2 STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE CLIMO IN NM AND 2 TO 3 STANDARD
DEVIATION ABOVE CLIMO IN NE COLORADO AND INTO THE PLAINS.  UPPER LEVEL LOW
SHOULD CONTINUE NORTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS PER WATER VAPOR.  AS PER SATELLITE UPPER LEVEL
WIND TRACERS...STRONG JET WAS SEEN ACROSS N BAJA INTO N CENTRAL MEXICO
FROM LOWELL AND MODERATING A BIT INTO WESTERN NM AND ACROSS CENTRAL TO NE
COLORADO AND PROVIDING LIFTING MECHANISM TO ACT ON DEEPENING MOISTURE.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE/HIGH SOUTHERN PLAINS LOOKED TO BE RETROGRADING A
BIT..WHICH SHOULD KEEP FOCUS OF ATTENTION FROM NM THRU COLORADO INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND HEIGHTEN CONCERNED NE COLORADO
INTO SW NEBRASKA JUST BECAUSE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN PERSISTENT ALREADY THIS
MORNING IN THAT AREA.     JET AND MOISTURE WILL HEIGHTEN FF THREAT C
TO EASTERN COLORADO AS WELL..BUT WITH A LITTLE LESS FOCUS...BUT STILL
BURN AREAS WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR A HEIGHTEN FF THREAT.  GOES SOUNDER WAS
SHOWING INCREASED INSTABILITY WITH LOWERING LIS E CENTRAL TO INTERIOR NE
COLORADO WITH INCREASING CAPE PAST FEW HRS BOUNDED BY E CENTRAL COLORADO
TO NW KANSAS INTO EXT S CENTRAL NEBRASKA BACK TO THE CO-WY-NE BORDER AREA.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1515-2100Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...FOCUS MOST OF THIS PERIOD ON ALREADY EXISTING
CONVECTION NE COLORADO INTO SW NEBRASKA AND EXPANDING AS THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON GO ON AS UPPER LEVEL APPROACHES FROM AZ/SE UTAH AND MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO PUMP IN FROM THE SOUTH AND JET PROVIDED ADDED FORCING FOR
HVY RAIN GENERATION IN COMBO WITH THE APPROACHING DEEP ANOMALOUS TROUGH.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4173 10444 4151 10038 3457 10544 3533 10816
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