332
FNUS53 KDTX 140803
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure moves west to east through the Ohio valley
today and tonight while drawing a cold front the remaining way
through Lower Michigan. Clusters of showers and cooler air fill
in across the region today and tonight. Weak high pressure then
expands southward from Ontario with dry weather Wednesday into
Thursday. The next chance for rain arrives with a low pressure
system Friday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-142130-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 8 am,
                    then chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1480-1980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (244).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3190-3690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (513).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-142130-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 8 am,
                    then chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1340-1840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (223).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2710-3210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (456).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-142130-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
403 AM EDT Tue May 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 8 am. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15
                    mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4010-4510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming east.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (420).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    5 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......510-710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 pm, then partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3990-4490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (593).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

BT