Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
UXUS97 KBOU 121353
SRGBOU

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
0653 MST Friday, December 12, 2014

This forecast is for Friday, December 12, 2014:

If the trigger temperature of 68.3 F/20.1 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 0 ft/min (0.0 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 7522 ft MSL (2237 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 64.0 F/18.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... None
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast thin middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 6263 ft MSL (977 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 12/13..... Fair

Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1700 MST)......... No
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... 15605 ft MSL (10320 ft AGL)
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1700 MST)................ Weak NVA
Potential height of wave....................... 17571 ft MSL (12286 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Saturday 12/13........ Poor

Remarks... No change

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:11:16 / 16:35:22 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 24 min 6 sec (564 min 6 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:53:22 MST... 27.19 degrees

Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 12/12/2014 at 0500 MST

Freezing level.................. 13367 ft MSL (8082 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 23607 ft MSL (18322 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17955 ft MSL (12670 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +10.6
K index......................... -26.2

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -68.1 -90.6   300   13    7   4.0   2.2   85.0 185.0    38.5      M    M
 45000  -69.7 -93.5   305   25   13  -9.5  -5.2   57.8 136.1    24.6      M    M
 40000  -61.9 -79.4   305   33   17   3.6   2.0   46.0 114.8    18.7      M    M
 38000  -57.9 -72.2   330   26   13   9.1   5.0   43.1 109.6    17.2      M    M
 36000  -53.3 -63.9   325   21   11   4.9   2.7   41.4 106.5    16.5      M    M
 34000  -48.1 -54.6   325   16    8   8.5   4.7   40.6 105.0    16.4      M    M
 32000  -43.7 -46.7   320   13    7   7.5   4.1   38.6 101.4    15.3      M    M
 30000  -38.1 -36.6   320   11    6   9.1   5.0   38.3 100.9    15.5      M    M
 29000  -35.6 -32.1   315    8    4   8.2   4.5   37.6  99.7    15.2      M    M
 28000  -32.5 -26.5   300    4    2   8.2   4.5   37.0  98.5    14.9      M    M
 27000  -30.6 -23.1   240    2    1   4.3   2.4   35.7  96.2    14.0      M    M
 26000  -28.5 -19.3   165    5    2   8.7   4.8   34.6  94.2    13.4      M    M
 25000  -25.9 -14.6   155    9    5   8.7   4.8   34.3  93.7    13.3      M    M
 24000  -23.3  -9.9   165    9    5   8.6   4.7   33.8  92.9    13.1      M    M
 23000  -20.8  -5.4   160   12    6   7.4   4.1   33.3  91.9    12.8      M    M
 22000  -18.6  -1.5   160   15    8   7.5   4.1   32.5  90.5    12.3      M    M
 21000  -16.4   2.5   175   17    9   7.5   4.1   31.6  88.9    11.7      M    M
 20000  -14.1   6.6   190   20   10   7.5   4.1   30.9  87.5    11.1      M    M
 19500  -13.0   8.6   195   20   10   7.5   4.1   30.4  86.7    10.8      M    M
 19000  -11.9  10.6   200   21   11   7.7   4.2   30.0  86.0    10.5      M    M
 18500  -10.7  12.7   200   21   11   8.4   4.6   29.7  85.5    10.3      M    M
 18000   -9.4  15.1   205   22   11   8.4   4.6   29.5  85.0    10.2      M    M
 17500   -8.2  17.2   205   22   12   8.4   4.6   29.2  84.6    10.0      M    M
 17000   -6.9  19.6   210   23   12   8.4   4.6   29.0  84.3     9.9      M    M
 16500   -5.6  21.9   215   23   12   8.2   4.5   28.8  83.8     9.8      M    M
 16000   -4.4  24.1   220   22   11   6.8   3.7   28.6  83.4     9.6      M    M
 15500   -4.0  24.8   225   19   10   0.6   0.3   27.3  81.2     8.6      M    M
 15000   -3.9  25.0   230   15    8   2.2   1.2   25.9  78.6     7.2      M    M
 14500   -3.0  26.6   235   12    6   8.3   4.5   25.3  77.5     6.7      M    M
 14000   -1.2  29.8   255    8    4   7.9   4.3   24.9  76.8     6.4      M    M
 13500   -0.1  31.8   250    7    3   7.9   4.3   24.6  76.2     6.1      M    M
 13000    1.1  34.0   245    6    3   7.9   4.3   24.3  75.7     5.9      M    M
 12500    2.3  36.1   240    5    2   7.9   4.3   24.0  75.2     5.7      M    M
 12000    3.5  38.3   235    4    2   7.9   4.3   23.7  74.7     5.4      M    M
 11500    4.7  40.5   235    5    3   7.9   4.4   23.4  74.1     5.2      M    M
 11000    5.9  42.6   235    6    3   8.1   4.4   23.1  73.5     4.9      M    M
 10500    6.9  44.4   235    7    3   3.1   1.7   22.6  72.7     4.5      M    M
 10250    7.0  44.6   235    7    4   2.6   1.4   22.0  71.6     3.9      M    M
 10000    7.3  45.1   220    8    4   4.5   2.5   21.5  70.7     3.4      M    M
  9750    7.6  45.7   210    9    4   4.2   2.3   21.1  70.0     3.0      M    M
  9500    7.9  46.2   200   10    5   4.1   2.2   20.7  69.2     2.6      M    M
  9250    8.2  46.8   195   12    6   5.3   2.9   20.2  68.4     2.1      M    M
  9000    8.6  47.5   190   13    7   6.9   3.8   20.0  68.0     1.9      M    M
  8750    9.1  48.4   190   12    6   6.8   3.7   19.7  67.5     1.7      M    M
  8500    9.6  49.3   190   12    6   6.7   3.7   19.5  67.1     1.4      M    M
  8250   10.1  50.2   185   11    6   7.2   3.9   19.3  66.7     1.2      M    M
  8000   10.6  51.1   185   11    6   5.5   3.0   19.1  66.3     1.0      M    M
  7750   10.9  51.6   190   10    5   2.5   1.4   18.6  65.5     0.5      M    M
  7500   11.0  51.8   190    9    5   2.0   1.1   18.0  64.4    -0.1    136  0.7
  7250   11.2  52.2   195    8    4   2.1   1.2   17.4  63.4    -0.6    124  0.6
  7000   11.3  52.3   200    7    4   2.1   1.2   16.8  62.3    -1.2    112  0.6
  6750   11.5  52.7   205    7    4   2.0   1.1   16.3  61.3    -1.8    100  0.5
  6500   11.6  52.9   210    7    4   2.4   1.3   15.7  60.2    -2.4     88  0.4
  6250   11.8  53.2   215    8    4   0.9   0.5   15.1  59.2    -3.0     76  0.4
  6000   11.4  52.5   220    8    4 -13.8  -7.6   14.0  57.2    -4.1     80  0.4
  5750    9.5  49.1   210    7    4 -36.9 -20.2   11.3  52.4    -6.8    130  0.7
  5500    6.1  43.0   195    6    3 -53.1 -29.1    7.1  44.9   -10.9    226  1.1

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           12/12/2014 at 0800 MST          |       12/12/2014 at 1100 MST
                                           |
K index... -24.5  LI... +6.1               | K index... -26.1  LI... +5.9
CAPE... 0.0  CIN... M                      | CAPE... 0.0  CIN... M
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -66.7 -88.1  295  11  6  -1.3  -0.7 | -67.0 -88.6  260  15  8  -1.0  -0.5
 45000 -68.0 -90.4  300  15  8   4.7   2.6 | -68.0 -90.4  270  18  9   4.9   2.7
 40000 -61.3 -78.3  305  25 13   4.4   2.4 | -61.0 -77.8  280  20 11   4.2   2.3
 38000 -57.4 -71.3  305  20 10   7.0   3.9 | -57.0 -70.6  275  16  8   6.9   3.8
 36000 -53.1 -63.6  310  13  7   7.0   3.9 | -52.9 -63.2  260  10  5   6.9   3.8
 34000 -47.9 -54.2  315   8  4   8.5   4.7 | -48.2 -54.8  235   7  4   8.4   4.6
 32000 -42.8 -45.0  315   6  3   8.5   4.6 | -43.2 -45.8  200   6  3   8.4   4.6
 30000 -37.8 -36.0  305   3  2   8.2   4.5 | -38.2 -36.8  180   7  4   8.2   4.5
 29000 -35.3 -31.5  275   2  1   8.2   4.5 | -35.8 -32.4  175   8  4   8.2   4.5
 28000 -32.8 -27.0  215   2  1   8.2   4.5 | -32.7 -26.9  175  10  5   8.3   4.5
 27000 -30.5 -22.9  190   3  2   7.5   4.1 | -30.4 -22.7  175  11  6   7.3   4.0
 26000 -28.2 -18.8  190   5  3   7.5   4.1 | -28.2 -18.8  180  13  7   7.3   4.0
 25000 -26.0 -14.8  190   8  4   7.5   4.1 | -26.0 -14.8  180  15  7   7.3   4.0
 24000 -23.7 -10.7  185  10  5   7.5   4.1 | -23.8 -10.8  180  17  9   7.6   4.1
 23000 -21.5  -6.7  185  13  6   7.5   4.1 | -21.5  -6.7  180  19 10   7.6   4.1
 22000 -19.2  -2.6  180  15  8   7.5   4.1 | -19.3  -2.7  185  22 11   7.6   4.1
 21000 -16.8   1.8  185  17  9   8.4   4.6 | -16.8   1.8  185  22 12   8.5   4.7
 20000 -14.3   6.3  195  18  9   8.4   4.6 | -14.3   6.3  190  22 11   8.5   4.7
 19500 -13.0   8.6  200  18  9   8.4   4.6 | -13.0   8.6  195  22 11   8.5   4.7
 19000 -11.7  10.9  205  19 10   8.4   4.6 | -11.7  10.9  200  22 11   8.3   4.6
 18500 -10.6  12.9  205  19 10   7.3   4.0 | -10.5  13.1  200  22 11   7.7   4.2
 18000  -9.5  14.9  210  20 10   7.4   4.1 |  -9.4  15.1  205  22 11   7.8   4.3
 17500  -8.3  17.1  210  20 10   7.3   4.0 |  -8.3  17.1  205  22 12   7.0   3.9
 17000  -6.7  19.9  210  19 10   7.3   4.0 |  -7.2  19.0  205  22 11   6.9   3.8
 16500  -5.7  21.7  210  19 10   6.6   3.6 |  -6.2  20.8  205  21 11   6.8   3.7
 16000  -4.7  23.5  205  16  8   6.4   3.5 |  -5.2  22.6  205  20 10   6.5   3.5
 15500  -3.7  25.3  205  14  7   6.1   3.4 |  -4.3  24.3  205  19 10   6.5   3.5
 15000  -2.9  26.8  205  13  7   5.7   3.1 |  -3.3  26.1  210  17  9   6.9   3.8
 14500  -2.1  28.2  205  11  6   6.0   3.3 |  -2.3  27.9  210  16  8   6.8   3.7
 14000  -1.0  30.2  205  10  5   8.3   4.5 |  -0.6  30.9  210  14  7   8.1   4.4
 13500   0.2  32.4  205  10  5   8.2   4.5 |   0.6  33.1  210  13  7   8.0   4.4
 13000   1.4  34.5  200   9  5   7.0   3.8 |   1.6  34.9  210  12  6   6.4   3.5
 12500   2.4  36.3  200   8  4   7.1   3.9 |   2.6  36.7  205  11  6   6.5   3.6
 12000   3.4  38.1  195   7  4   6.7   3.7 |   3.6  38.5  205  10  5   6.6   3.6
 11500   4.4  39.9  195   7  3   6.8   3.8 |   4.6  40.3  205  10  5   6.6   3.6
 11000   5.4  41.7  195   6  3   5.8   3.2 |   5.5  41.9  205   9  5   5.9   3.3
 10500   6.2  43.2  195   6  3   6.4   3.5 |   6.3  43.3  205   8  4   6.5   3.6
 10250   6.6  43.9  195   6  3   3.6   2.0 |   6.8  44.2  205   8  4   3.8   2.1
 10000   6.8  44.2  195   6  3   4.2   2.3 |   7.0  44.6  205   8  4   4.7   2.6
  9750   7.3  45.1  195   6  3   7.2   4.0 |   7.5  45.5  205   8  4   8.1   4.4
  9500   7.8  46.0  195   6  3   7.0   3.8 |   8.1  46.6  205   7  4   7.5   4.1
  9250   8.3  46.9  195   6  3   5.2   2.9 |   8.6  47.5  205   7  4   5.9   3.3
  9000   8.6  47.5  200   6  3   4.2   2.3 |   8.9  48.0  205   7  3   5.0   2.8
  8750   9.0  48.2  200   6  3   5.6   3.1 |   9.4  48.9  205   6  3   6.1   3.4
  8500   9.4  48.9  205   5  3   5.4   2.9 |   9.8  49.6  210   6  3   5.8   3.2
  8250   9.8  49.6  205   5  3   5.1   2.8 |  10.2  50.4  210   6  3   5.4   3.0
  8000  10.1  50.2  210   5  3   4.8   2.6 |  10.6  51.1  215   5  3   4.8   2.6
  7750  10.5  50.9  215   5  2   4.8   2.6 |  10.9  51.6  215   5  3   4.5   2.5
  7500  10.8  51.4  220   4  2   4.2   2.3 |  11.2  52.2  220   5  2   3.5   1.9
  7250  11.1  52.0  225   4  2   3.4   1.8 |  11.4  52.5  225   4  2   2.3   1.3
  7000  11.3  52.3  225   4  2   2.8   1.5 |  11.6  52.9  225   4  2   2.1   1.1
  6750  11.6  52.9  225   4  2   4.2   2.3 |  11.7  53.1  230   4  2   2.6   1.4
  6500  11.6  52.9  220   3  2  -7.5  -4.1 |  11.8  53.2  235   4  2  -3.4  -1.9
  6250  10.4  50.7  235   3  2 -19.8 -10.8 |  11.3  52.3  240   3  2  -7.9  -4.4
  6000   9.2  48.6  245   4  2  -9.7  -5.3 |  10.7  51.3  245   3  1  -7.3  -4.0
  5750   8.3  46.9  255   4  2 -24.4 -13.4 |  10.1  50.2  260   2  1  -6.3  -3.4
  5500   4.3  39.7  235   4  2 -82.3 -45.2 |   9.8  49.6  250   2  1  -0.7  -0.4

           12/12/2014 at 1400 MST          |       12/12/2014 at 1700 MST
                                           |
K index... -30.6  LI... +5.9               | K index... -25.4  LI... +5.9
CAPE... 0.0  CIN... -0.3                   | CAPE... 0.0  CIN... M
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -67.1 -88.8  255  21 11  -0.8  -0.4 | -68.0 -90.4  250  25 13   0.3   0.2
 45000 -67.8 -90.0  245  22 11   4.5   2.4 | -67.3 -89.1  235  28 14   3.6   2.0
 40000 -61.5 -78.7  240  22 11   3.6   2.0 | -62.1 -79.8  240  39 20   2.7   1.5
 38000 -57.4 -71.3  240  21 11   7.4   4.0 | -57.9 -72.2  235  33 17   7.7   4.2
 36000 -53.0 -63.4  240  20 10   7.4   4.0 | -53.3 -63.9  225  25 13   7.7   4.2
 34000 -48.3 -54.9  235  18  9   8.3   4.6 | -48.3 -54.9  215  22 11   8.8   4.8
 32000 -43.3 -45.9  215  15  8   8.3   4.6 | -43.1 -45.6  210  21 11   8.8   4.8
 30000 -38.3 -36.9  205  15  8   8.2   4.5 | -38.1 -36.6  205  20 10   7.9   4.3
 29000 -35.9 -32.6  205  16  8   8.2   4.5 | -35.7 -32.3  200  20 10   7.9   4.3
 28000 -32.8 -27.0  205  17  9   8.2   4.5 | -32.7 -26.9  200  19 10   7.9   4.3
 27000 -30.4 -22.7  205  17  9   8.0   4.4 | -30.4 -22.7  200  20 10   7.8   4.3
 26000 -28.0 -18.4  205  19 10   8.0   4.4 | -28.0 -18.4  200  21 11   7.8   4.3
 25000 -25.6 -14.1  200  20 10   8.0   4.4 | -25.7 -14.3  200  22 11   7.8   4.3
 24000 -23.3  -9.9  200  21 11   7.6   4.2 | -23.4 -10.1  200  24 12   7.7   4.2
 23000 -21.0  -5.8  195  24 12   7.6   4.2 | -21.1  -6.0  195  26 13   7.7   4.2
 22000 -18.7  -1.7  195  26 13   7.6   4.2 | -18.8  -1.8  195  28 14   7.7   4.2
 21000 -16.3   2.7  190  27 14   8.2   4.5 | -16.4   2.5  195  29 15   8.1   4.4
 20000 -13.9   7.0  190  28 14   8.3   4.5 | -14.0   6.8  190  30 15   8.1   4.4
 19500 -12.6   9.3  190  28 14   8.3   4.5 | -12.8   9.0  190  30 16   8.1   4.4
 19000 -11.4  11.5  190  28 15   8.3   4.6 | -11.5  11.3  190  31 16   8.2   4.5
 18500 -10.1  13.8  190  28 14   8.7   4.8 | -10.3  13.5  190  31 16   8.6   4.7
 18000  -8.8  16.2  195  28 14   8.7   4.8 |  -9.0  15.8  190  30 15   8.6   4.7
 17500  -7.6  18.3  195  27 14   7.8   4.3 |  -7.7  18.1  190  29 15   8.3   4.5
 17000  -6.4  20.5  200  27 14   7.6   4.2 |  -6.5  20.3  190  28 15   8.1   4.5
 16500  -5.3  22.5  200  26 13   7.2   4.0 |  -5.3  22.5  195  27 14   7.7   4.2
 16000  -4.3  24.3  200  25 13   6.0   3.3 |  -4.3  24.3  195  26 14   6.0   3.3
 15500  -3.4  25.9  200  24 12   6.0   3.3 |  -3.4  25.9  195  25 13   6.2   3.4
 15000  -2.5  27.5  200  23 12   6.0   3.3 |  -2.5  27.5  195  24 12   5.8   3.2
 14500  -1.2  29.8  200  20 10   6.2   3.4 |  -1.7  28.9  200  23 12   5.8   3.2
 14000  -0.2  31.6  200  19 10   7.2   4.0 |  -0.3  31.5  200  21 11   6.8   3.7
 13500   0.9  33.6  200  18  9   7.2   4.0 |   0.7  33.3  200  20 10   6.7   3.7
 13000   1.9  35.4  200  17  9   6.5   3.6 |   1.7  35.1  200  19 10   6.5   3.6
 12500   2.9  37.2  200  16  8   6.7   3.7 |   2.7  36.9  200  18  9   6.6   3.6
 12000   3.8  38.8  200  15  8   6.2   3.4 |   3.6  38.5  205  17  9   6.4   3.5
 11500   4.7  40.5  200  14  7   6.3   3.4 |   4.5  40.1  205  16  8   6.6   3.6
 11000   5.7  42.3  200  12  6   6.1   3.3 |   5.4  41.7  205  15  8   6.2   3.4
 10500   6.5  43.7  205  11  6   6.5   3.5 |   6.3  43.3  205  13  7   6.7   3.7
 10250   7.0  44.6  205  10  5   4.4   2.4 |   6.8  44.2  210  13  7   4.0   2.2
 10000   7.2  45.0  205  10  5   4.7   2.6 |   7.0  44.6  210  12  6   4.0   2.2
  9750   7.7  45.9  205   9  5   6.9   3.8 |   7.4  45.3  210  11  6   6.5   3.6
  9500   8.2  46.8  205   9  4   6.7   3.7 |   7.9  46.2  210  10  5   6.2   3.4
  9250   8.7  47.7  205   8  4   5.5   3.0 |   8.3  46.9  210   9  5   5.0   2.7
  9000   9.0  48.2  205   7  4   4.8   2.6 |   8.6  47.5  215   9  4   3.9   2.1
  8750   9.4  48.9  205   7  3   5.8   3.2 |   9.0  48.2  215   8  4   4.5   2.5
  8500   9.8  49.6  205   6  3   5.6   3.0 |   9.3  48.7  215   7  4   4.3   2.4
  8250  10.2  50.4  200   6  3   5.2   2.9 |   9.6  49.3  220   6  3   4.9   2.7
  8000  10.6  51.1  200   5  3   4.7   2.6 |  10.0  50.0  220   5  3   4.8   2.6
  7750  10.9  51.6  200   5  3   4.6   2.5 |  10.3  50.5  225   5  3   3.9   2.1
  7500  11.3  52.3  200   5  2   4.0   2.2 |  10.6  51.1  225   4  2   3.5   1.9
  7250  11.5  52.7  200   4  2   2.9   1.6 |  10.8  51.4  230   4  2   3.2   1.8
  7000  11.7  53.1  200   4  2   2.4   1.3 |  11.0  51.8  230   3  2   3.0   1.7
  6750  11.8  53.2  205   3  2   2.2   1.2 |  11.2  52.2  235   3  1   2.8   1.6
  6500  12.0  53.6  215   3  1   1.1   0.6 |  11.4  52.5  235   2  1   2.2   1.2
  6250  12.0  53.6  205   2  1   0.6   0.3 |  11.5  52.7  230   1  1   1.6   0.9
  6000  12.0  53.6  185   1  1   0.2   0.1 |  11.6  52.9  215   1  0   2.9   1.6
  5750  12.0  53.6  155   1  1   2.8   1.5 |  11.7  53.1  000   0  0  -0.5  -0.3
  5500  12.5  54.5  135   1  1  10.7   5.9 |  11.2  52.2  060   1  0 -12.3  -6.8
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
                   Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613



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