Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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111
UXUS97 KBOU 200055
SRGBOU

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
1854 MDT Tuesday, September 19, 2017

This forecast is for Wednesday, September 20, 2017:

If the trigger temperature of 66.4 F/19.1 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 758 ft/min (3.9 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 15101 ft MSL (9786 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 80.0 F/27.1 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1045 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 12988 ft MSL (7673 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Thursday 09/21..... Excellent

Wave Soaring Index............................. Good
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT)......... No change
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Neither
Potential height of wave....................... 22084 ft MSL (16769 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Thursday 09/21........ Fair

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:45:46 / 18:59:44 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 13 min 58 sec (733 min 58 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:52:45 MDT... 50.99 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 09/20/2017 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. 13137 ft MSL (7822 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16944 ft MSL (11629 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 15807 ft MSL (10492 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +3.4
K index......................... +11.6

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -63.6 -82.5   265   27   14  -2.3  -1.3      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -65.0 -85.0   260   39   20   5.6   3.1      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -56.5 -69.7   265   39   20   6.0   3.3      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -52.5 -62.5   265   38   19   6.7   3.7      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -48.0 -54.4   265   36   19   6.8   3.7      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -43.2 -45.8   260   34   18   8.6   4.7      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -38.0 -36.4   260   32   16   8.6   4.7      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -32.9 -27.2   255   29   15   8.4   4.6   43.3 110.0    12.7      M    M
 29000  -30.4 -22.7   255   28   14   8.4   4.6   42.8 109.1    12.4      M    M
 28000  -27.9 -18.2   255   26   13   8.4   4.6   42.4 108.4    12.2      M    M
 27000  -25.4 -13.7   250   26   13   8.3   4.6   41.9 107.3    11.9      M    M
 26000  -22.9  -9.2   250   27   14   8.3   4.6   41.3 106.3    11.6      M    M
 25000  -20.4  -4.7   250   28   14   8.3   4.5   40.8 105.4    11.3      M    M
 24000  -18.0  -0.4   250   29   15   7.5   4.1   40.2 104.3    10.9      M    M
 23000  -15.7   3.7   250   30   15   7.5   4.1   39.3 102.7    10.3      M    M
 22000  -13.5   7.7   250   31   16   7.5   4.1   38.5 101.3     9.8      M    M
 21000  -11.5  11.3   250   31   16   5.8   3.2   37.5  99.5     9.0      M    M
 20000   -9.7  14.5   255   31   16   5.8   3.2   36.0  96.9     7.9      M    M
 19500   -8.9  16.0   255   30   16   5.9   3.2   35.4  95.7     7.3      M    M
 19000   -7.6  18.3   255   30   16   5.1   2.8   34.4  94.0     6.6      M    M
 18500   -6.9  19.6   255   29   15   4.3   2.4   33.5  92.2     5.8      M    M
 18000   -6.3  20.7   255   29   15   4.3   2.4   32.5  90.5     4.9      M    M
 17500   -5.7  21.7   255   28   14   4.0   2.2   31.5  88.8     4.1      M    M
 17000   -5.1  22.8   255   27   14   4.0   2.2   30.6  87.0     3.2      M    M
 16500   -4.6  23.7   255   26   14   4.0   2.2   29.6  85.3     2.4      M    M
 16000   -4.0  24.8   260   25   13   4.0   2.2   28.6  83.5     1.5      M    M
 15500   -3.4  25.9   260   24   13   4.1   2.3   27.7  81.8     0.6      M    M
 15000   -2.8  27.0   260   23   12   4.6   2.5   26.8  80.2    -0.3    747  3.8
 14500   -2.2  28.0   260   22   11   4.5   2.5   25.9  78.6    -1.1    713  3.6
 14000   -1.4  29.5   260   21   11   6.3   3.5   25.2  77.3    -1.9    676  3.4
 13500   -0.6  30.9   260   20   10   6.2   3.4   24.6  76.3    -2.5    635  3.2
 13000    0.3  32.5   260   19   10   6.7   3.7   24.1  75.3    -3.0    593  3.0
 12500    1.3  34.3   260   17    9   6.7   3.7   23.6  74.4    -3.6    550  2.8
 12000    2.2  36.0   260   16    8   6.7   3.7   23.1  73.6    -4.1    506  2.6
 11500    3.2  37.8   260   14    7   6.8   3.7   22.6  72.7    -4.6    462  2.3
 11000    4.1  39.4   255   13    6   5.7   3.1   22.1  71.7    -5.2    420  2.1
 10500    4.9  40.8   255   11    6   4.7   2.6   21.4  70.4    -5.9    382  1.9
 10250    5.3  41.5   255   11    5   7.3   4.0   21.0  69.8    -6.3    363  1.8
 10000    5.9  42.6   250    9    5   7.8   4.3   20.9  69.7    -6.4    338  1.7
  9750    6.3  43.3   245    9    4   5.5   3.0   20.6  69.1    -6.7    317  1.6
  9500    6.8  44.2   240    8    4   6.1   3.3   20.3  68.6    -7.0    296  1.5
  9250    7.2  45.0   235    7    4   6.0   3.3   20.0  68.1    -7.3    275  1.4
  9000    7.7  45.9   225    7    3   5.9   3.2   19.7  67.5    -7.6    253  1.3
  8750    8.2  46.8   220    6    3   5.7   3.1   19.4  67.0    -7.9    233  1.2
  8500    8.6  47.5   220    6    3   5.6   3.1   19.1  66.4    -8.2    212  1.1
  8250    9.0  48.2   215    6    3   6.0   3.3   18.8  65.8    -8.5    191  1.0
  8000    9.5  49.1   200    6    3   5.0   2.8   18.5  65.3    -8.8    171  0.9
  7750    9.7  49.5   190    7    3   0.4   0.2   18.0  64.4    -9.3    156  0.8
  7500    9.6  49.3   180    7    4  -1.8  -1.0   17.1  62.8   -10.2    152  0.8
  7250    9.5  49.1   175    8    4  -2.5  -1.4   16.3  61.3   -11.1    149  0.8
  7000    9.2  48.6   165    7    4  -3.8  -2.1   15.2  59.4   -12.1    149  0.8
  6750    9.0  48.2   155    6    3  -2.5  -1.4   14.2  57.6   -13.1    149  0.8
  6500    8.9  48.0   145    6    3   1.4   0.8   13.4  56.2   -13.9    144  0.7
  6250    9.2  48.6   145    6    3   5.6   3.1   13.0  55.4   -14.4    128  0.7
  6000    9.6  49.3   145    6    3   6.7   3.6   12.7  54.9   -14.7    107  0.5
  5750   10.1  50.2   145    6    3   5.6   3.1   12.5  54.4   -15.0     86  0.4
  5500   10.4  50.7   145    5    3   2.4   1.3   12.0  53.7   -15.5     70  0.4

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           09/20/2017 at 0900 MDT          |       09/20/2017 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +4.8        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +5.4
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +12.2        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... +13.3
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -62.8 -81.0  265  22 11  -3.1  -1.7 | -64.0 -83.2  240  24 12  -1.6  -0.9
 45000 -65.5 -85.9  260  38 20   5.5   3.0 | -65.0 -85.0  255  37 19   4.7   2.6
 40000 -57.0 -70.6  260  40 21   6.6   3.6 | -57.6 -71.7  255  39 20   6.7   3.7
 38000 -52.7 -62.9  260  38 20   7.1   3.9 | -53.1 -63.6  255  36 19   7.4   4.0
 36000 -48.5 -55.3  260  36 19   7.0   3.9 | -48.7 -55.7  255  34 18   7.4   4.0
 34000 -43.7 -46.7  260  35 18   8.6   4.7 | -43.9 -47.0  255  32 17   8.5   4.7
 32000 -38.5 -37.3  260  33 17   8.6   4.7 | -38.7 -37.7  255  30 16   8.5   4.7
 30000 -33.5 -28.3  260  31 16   8.4   4.6 | -33.4 -28.1  255  28 14   9.2   5.0
 29000 -30.3 -22.5  255  28 15   8.4   4.6 | -29.9 -21.8  250  26 14   9.2   5.0
 28000 -27.8 -18.0  250  27 14   8.4   4.6 | -27.2 -17.0  250  25 13   9.2   5.0
 27000 -25.4 -13.7  250  25 13   8.0   4.4 | -24.9 -12.8  250  25 13   7.3   4.0
 26000 -23.0  -9.4  245  25 13   8.0   4.4 | -22.7  -8.9  255  26 13   7.3   4.0
 25000 -20.6  -5.1  240  24 12   8.0   4.4 | -20.5  -4.9  255  27 14   7.3   4.0
 24000 -18.3  -0.9  240  24 12   7.6   4.1 | -18.2  -0.8  255  27 14   8.1   4.4
 23000 -16.1   3.0  250  26 13   7.5   4.1 | -15.8   3.6  260  26 14   8.1   4.5
 22000 -13.8   7.2  255  27 14   7.6   4.1 | -13.4   7.9  260  26 13   8.1   4.5
 21000 -11.9  10.6  255  28 14   5.9   3.2 | -11.1  12.0  260  26 13   7.4   4.1
 20000 -10.1  13.8  260  28 14   5.9   3.2 |  -8.9  16.0  260  26 13   7.4   4.1
 19500  -9.3  15.3  260  27 14   5.9   3.2 |  -7.7  18.1  260  25 13   7.4   4.1
 19000  -8.4  16.9  260  27 14   5.8   3.2 |  -6.6  20.1  265  25 13   7.2   3.9
 18500  -7.6  18.3  260  26 14   4.7   2.6 |  -5.7  21.7  260  25 13   5.6   3.1
 18000  -6.9  19.6  260  26 13   4.8   2.6 |  -4.9  23.2  260  25 13   5.7   3.1
 17500  -6.3  20.7  255  25 13   4.4   2.4 |  -4.1  24.6  260  24 13   4.4   2.4
 17000  -5.7  21.7  255  25 13   4.2   2.3 |  -3.5  25.7  260  24 13   3.9   2.2
 16500  -5.1  22.8  255  24 12   4.1   2.3 |  -3.0  26.6  260  25 13   3.7   2.0
 16000  -4.5  23.9  255  23 12   3.8   2.1 |  -2.6  27.3  260  24 13   2.1   1.1
 15500  -4.0  24.8  255  22 11   3.8   2.1 |  -2.3  27.9  260  24 12   2.3   1.2
 15000  -3.0  26.6  255  21 11   5.0   2.7 |  -2.1  28.2  260  23 12   2.2   1.2
 14500  -2.3  27.9  255  20 10   5.0   2.7 |  -1.7  28.9  260  21 11   2.5   1.3
 14000  -1.6  29.1  255  19 10   5.9   3.3 |  -1.2  29.8  260  19 10   4.7   2.6
 13500  -0.7  30.7  255  18  9   5.7   3.1 |  -0.7  30.7  255  17  9   4.2   2.3
 13000   0.2  32.4  255  17  9   7.4   4.1 |   0.2  32.4  255  14  7   8.3   4.6
 12500   1.2  34.2  255  16  8   7.4   4.0 |   1.4  34.5  250  12  6   8.1   4.4
 12000   2.3  36.1  250  15  8   7.2   4.0 |   2.6  36.7  245  11  5   8.3   4.5
 11500   3.3  37.9  250  13  7   7.2   3.9 |   3.8  38.8  240  10  5   8.3   4.6
 11000   4.4  39.9  245  12  6   8.2   4.5 |   5.0  41.0  235   9  5   7.4   4.0
 10500   5.6  42.1  245  11  5   9.2   5.0 |   6.1  43.0  230   9  5   6.8   3.7
 10250   6.2  43.2  240  10  5   5.2   2.9 |   6.6  43.9  225   9  4   9.3   5.1
 10000   6.5  43.7  240  10  5   5.9   3.2 |   7.4  45.3  225   9  4   9.9   5.5
  9750   7.2  45.0  235   9  5  10.4   5.7 |   8.0  46.4  220   8  4   7.9   4.3
  9500   7.9  46.2  230   8  4   9.0   4.9 |   8.7  47.7  215   8  4   8.4   4.6
  9250   8.6  47.5  230   8  4  10.2   5.6 |   9.3  48.7  210   8  4   8.4   4.6
  9000   9.3  48.7  225   8  4   8.5   4.7 |   9.9  49.8  205   7  4   8.6   4.7
  8750   9.8  49.6  225   7  4   6.4   3.5 |  10.5  50.9  200   7  3   8.7   4.8
  8500  10.3  50.5  220   7  3   7.6   4.1 |  11.2  52.2  195   6  3   8.3   4.5
  8250  10.8  51.4  220   6  3   4.9   2.7 |  11.8  53.2  185   6  3   9.8   5.4
  8000  11.1  52.0  220   6  3   2.5   1.4 |  12.6  54.7  185   5  3  10.5   5.8
  7750  11.3  52.3  220   6  3   3.3   1.8 |  13.3  55.9  185   5  3   9.2   5.0
  7500  11.6  52.9  215   6  3   3.1   1.7 |  14.0  57.2  185   5  3   9.2   5.1
  7250  11.8  53.2  210   6  3   2.0   1.1 |  14.7  58.5  185   5  3   9.5   5.2
  7000  11.9  53.4  200   7  3   1.4   0.8 |  15.4  59.7  180   5  2   9.7   5.3
  6750  12.0  53.6  190   8  4   0.0   0.0 |  16.2  61.2  180   5  2   9.5   5.2
  6500  11.9  53.4  185   9  5  -1.4  -0.8 |  16.9  62.4  180   5  2  10.3   5.6
  6250  11.8  53.2  175   8  4  -0.9  -0.5 |  17.7  63.9  180   4  2  11.4   6.3
  6000  11.7  53.1  170   7  4  -2.4  -1.3 |  18.6  65.5  180   4  2  11.3   6.2
  5750  11.6  52.9  155   6  3   3.6   2.0 |  19.4  66.9  180   4  2  11.6   6.4
  5500  12.5  54.5  150   5  3  20.8  11.4 |  20.4  68.7  180   4  2  18.6  10.2

           09/20/2017 at 1500 MDT          |       09/20/2017 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +3.4        | CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +2.4
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +22.4        | CINH...     0.0    K Index... +20.9
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -65.2 -85.4  250  20 10   0.7   0.4 | -65.7 -86.3  250  21 11   0.8   0.5
 45000 -63.1 -81.6  255  29 15   4.0   2.2 | -63.3 -81.9  250  24 13   4.0   2.2
 40000 -56.9 -70.4  250  35 18   7.1   3.9 | -57.1 -70.8  245  32 16   7.8   4.3
 38000 -52.3 -62.1  250  35 18   7.8   4.3 | -52.1 -61.8  245  32 16   8.2   4.5
 36000 -47.6 -53.7  250  34 17   7.8   4.3 | -47.2 -53.0  245  32 16   8.2   4.5
 34000 -42.9 -45.2  250  32 17   7.9   4.3 | -42.5 -44.5  245  31 16   7.8   4.3
 32000 -38.1 -36.6  250  30 15   7.9   4.3 | -37.8 -36.0  245  30 16   7.8   4.3
 30000 -32.3 -26.1  250  29 15   8.9   4.9 | -32.2 -26.0  245  29 15   8.6   4.7
 29000 -29.7 -21.5  250  29 15   8.9   4.9 | -29.7 -21.5  245  29 15   8.6   4.7
 28000 -27.0 -16.6  250  29 15   9.0   4.9 | -27.1 -16.8  250  28 15   8.6   4.7
 27000 -24.5 -12.1  250  28 15   8.0   4.4 | -24.5 -12.1  250  28 14   8.7   4.7
 26000 -22.1  -7.8  255  28 14   8.1   4.4 | -21.9  -7.4  250  27 14   8.7   4.8
 25000 -19.7  -3.5  255  27 14   8.0   4.4 | -19.3  -2.7  255  27 14   8.7   4.7
 24000 -17.5   0.5  255  27 14   6.7   3.7 | -17.2   1.0  255  26 13   5.6   3.1
 23000 -15.5   4.1  260  27 14   6.6   3.6 | -15.6   3.9  255  25 13   5.6   3.1
 22000 -13.5   7.7  260  27 14   6.7   3.7 | -13.9   7.0  260  24 12   5.6   3.1
 21000 -11.5  11.3  260  26 13   6.9   3.8 | -12.0  10.4  260  21 11   6.8   3.7
 20000  -9.4  15.1  265  25 13   6.9   3.8 | -10.0  14.0  260  18  9   6.8   3.8
 19500  -8.4  16.9  265  25 13   6.9   3.8 |  -9.0  15.8  260  17  9   6.8   3.8
 19000  -7.3  18.9  265  25 13   6.6   3.6 |  -8.0  17.6  260  15  8   6.6   3.6
 18500  -6.6  20.1  265  25 13   4.8   2.7 |  -7.1  19.2  260  16  8   5.7   3.1
 18000  -5.8  21.6  265  25 13   5.0   2.8 |  -6.3  20.7  260  18  9   5.8   3.2
 17500  -5.2  22.6  265  26 13   4.0   2.2 |  -5.5  22.1  260  19 10   5.0   2.8
 17000  -4.7  23.5  260  25 13   3.8   2.1 |  -4.9  23.2  255  19 10   4.9   2.7
 16500  -4.2  24.4  260  25 13   3.9   2.1 |  -4.2  24.4  255  19 10   5.5   3.0
 16000  -3.7  25.3  255  23 12   3.9   2.2 |  -3.3  26.1  250  18  9   7.2   3.9
 15500  -3.0  26.6  255  20 10   5.7   3.2 |  -1.8  28.8  250  16  8   8.1   4.4
 15000  -1.9  28.6  250  18  9   8.0   4.4 |  -0.4  31.3  245  15  8   9.2   5.1
 14500  -0.7  30.7  245  16  8   8.1   4.5 |   0.9  33.6  245  14  7   9.2   5.1
 14000   0.6  33.1  245  15  8   9.0   5.0 |   2.3  36.1  240  14  7   9.1   5.0
 13500   1.9  35.4  245  14  7   9.1   5.0 |   3.6  38.5  240  13  7   9.2   5.1
 13000   3.2  37.8  240  12  6   7.5   4.1 |   4.9  40.8  240  12  6   8.3   4.6
 12500   4.3  39.7  240  11  5   7.6   4.2 |   6.2  43.2  235  11  6   8.4   4.6
 12000   5.4  41.7  235   9  5   7.9   4.3 |   7.4  45.3  230  10  5   8.3   4.6
 11500   6.6  43.9  230   8  4   7.9   4.3 |   8.7  47.7  230   8  4   8.4   4.6
 11000   7.8  46.0  220   6  3   7.6   4.2 |   9.8  49.6  230   7  4   6.9   3.8
 10500   8.9  48.0  215   5  3   7.4   4.1 |  10.8  51.4  225   6  3   6.8   3.7
 10250   9.5  49.1  210   5  2  11.1   6.1 |  11.4  52.5  225   5  3   9.2   5.1
 10000  10.4  50.7  205   4  2  11.2   6.1 |  12.1  53.8  225   4  2   9.8   5.4
  9750  11.1  52.0  205   4  2   8.3   4.6 |  12.8  55.0  220   4  2   8.6   4.7
  9500  11.8  53.2  200   4  2   9.0   4.9 |  13.4  56.1  220   3  2   9.1   5.0
  9250  12.4  54.3  200   4  2   9.1   5.0 |  14.1  57.4  215   3  2   8.3   4.6
  9000  13.1  55.6  195   3  2   9.6   5.3 |  14.7  58.5  215   3  1   8.3   4.5
  8750  13.9  57.0  195   3  2   9.7   5.3 |  15.3  59.5  210   3  1   9.1   5.0
  8500  14.6  58.3  195   3  2   9.4   5.1 |  16.0  60.8  205   2  1   8.4   4.6
  8250  15.3  59.5  195   3  2  10.6   5.8 |  16.6  61.9  195   2  1  10.4   5.7
  8000  16.1  61.0  195   3  1  10.8   5.9 |  17.5  63.5  190   2  1  10.5   5.8
  7750  16.9  62.4  195   3  1   9.6   5.2 |  18.1  64.6  185   2  1   8.5   4.6
  7500  17.6  63.7  195   3  1   9.6   5.3 |  18.8  65.8  180   2  1   8.5   4.6
  7250  18.3  64.9  190   3  1  10.1   5.5 |  19.4  66.9  175   2  1   9.5   5.2
  7000  19.1  66.4  190   3  1  10.3   5.6 |  20.2  68.4  175   2  1  10.5   5.8
  6750  19.8  67.6  190   2  1   9.2   5.0 |  21.0  69.8  175   2  1   9.7   5.3
  6500  20.5  68.9  190   2  1   9.5   5.2 |  21.7  71.1  170   2  1   9.6   5.3
  6250  21.3  70.3  190   2  1  11.4   6.2 |  22.4  72.3  170   2  1  10.2   5.6
  6000  22.2  72.0  190   2  1  12.6   6.9 |  23.2  73.8  170   2  1  10.7   5.9
  5750  23.0  73.4  195   2  1   9.4   5.2 |  23.9  75.0  170   1  1   9.6   5.3
  5500  23.7  74.7  195   2  1  12.0   6.6 |  24.6  76.3  165   1  1   9.3   5.1
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
                   Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613



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