National Weather Service Text Product Display

Smoke Management Weather Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS75 KGJT 141813
SMFGJT

SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST FOR WESTERN COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.DISCUSSION...
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THE NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS WILL KEEP MIXING
HEIGHTS IN THE 18-20KFT MSL RANGE. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE GRADUALLY
INCREASING TONIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS THE
RIDGE OVER COLORADO CONTINUES TO BREAK DOWN. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO
VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
EVEN THOUGH WINDS ARE ON LIGHT SIDE ALOFT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING SOME GUSTY WINDS DUE TO THE DRIER CONDITIONS BELOW THE
CLOUD BASES.


...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...

COZ200-151200-
ZONE 200...LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LITTLE SNAKE RIVER BASIN AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN LIFTING
                    TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ201-151200-
ZONE 201...ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
WEST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...NORTHERN FLAT TOPS
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THROUGH 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN LIFTING
                    TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ202-151200-
ZONE 202...WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LOWER AND CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING
                    TO 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN LIFTING
                    TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ203-151200-
ZONE 203...GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHERN ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS...GRAND VALLEY...
DEBEQUE/RIFLE/GLENWOOD SPRINGS AND VICINITY...
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN...
BATTLEMENT MESA AND NORTHERN GRAND MESA...
NORTHERN ELK MOUNTAINS...WEST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...
SOUTHERN FLAT TOPS AND WHITE RIVER PLATEAU...
NORTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN LIFTING
                    TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

=
$$

COZ290-151200-
ZONE 290...PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...PARADOX VALLEY
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN LIFTING TO
                    14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ291-151200-
ZONE 291...NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...NORTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900 THEN LIFTING TO
                    11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ292-151200-
ZONE 292...NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASINS...
SOUTHERN GRAND MESA...SOUTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN LIFTING TO
                    13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ293-151200-
ZONE 293...GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...WEST SLOPES SAWATCH RANGE...
SOUTHERN ELK AND WEST ELK MOUNTAINS...UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THROUGH 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH 0900 THEN LIFTING
                    TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

=
$$

COZ207-151200-
ZONE 207...DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...FOUR CORNERS...
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 0900...THEN LIFTING
                    TO 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

=
$$
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
