Smoke Management Weather Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

000
FNUS75 KGJT 172031
SMFGJT

SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST FOR WESTERN COLORADO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
231 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.DISCUSSION...
DRY...WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE REPLACED BY COOLER AND
WETTER CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE WESTERN TROF
MOVES OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE ROCKIES. THE GUSTIER
WINDS MAY MIX OUT THE SHALLOW INVERSIONS OVER THE MID AND
HIGH TERRAIN AT TIMES TONIGHT BUT OVERALL POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL
IS EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AFTER 2400. INSTABILITY AND
WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BREAK INVERSIONS BY MID MORNING
WITH VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL EXPECTED BY THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TOMORROW.

...THE SMOKE DATA IS CALCULATED FROM AN AVERAGE AT 6000 FEET MSL...

COZ200-181200-
ZONE 200...LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LITTLE SNAKE RIVER BASIN AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN 17 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO..THEN INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

=
$$

COZ201-181200-
ZONE 201...ROUTT FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
WEST SLOPES PARK AND NORTHERN GORE RANGES...NORTHERN FLAT TOPS
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

=
$$

COZ202-181200-
ZONE 202...WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...LOWER AND CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN...
EAST TAVAPUTS PLATEAU
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN 16 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO..THEN INCREASING
                    TO VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

=
$$

COZ203-181200-
ZONE 203...GRAND JUNCTION FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHERN ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS...GRAND VALLEY...
DEBEQUE/RIFLE/GLENWOOD SPRINGS AND VICINITY...
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN...
BATTLEMENT MESA AND NORTHERN GRAND MESA...
NORTHERN ELK MOUNTAINS...WEST SLOPES SOUTHERN GORE RANGE...
SOUTHERN FLAT TOPS AND WHITE RIVER PLATEAU...
NORTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS BELOW 8000 FEET...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO
                    POOR AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100 THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO
                    10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

=
$$

COZ290-181200-
ZONE 290...PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...PARADOX VALLEY
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 16 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO 10500
                    FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 MPH.

=
$$

COZ291-181200-
ZONE 291...NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...NORTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 13 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO 11500
                    FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 MPH.

=
$$

COZ292-181200-
ZONE 292...NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASINS...
SOUTHERN GRAND MESA...SOUTHERN UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO LESS
                    THAN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN 11 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

=
$$

COZ293-181200-
ZONE 293...GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...WEST SLOPES SAWATCH RANGE...
SOUTHERN ELK AND WEST ELK MOUNTAINS...UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

=
$$

COZ207-181200-
ZONE 207...DURANGO FORECAST AREA-
INCLUDING ...SOUTHWESTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS...FOUR CORNERS...
ANIMAS RIVER BASIN...SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN
230 PM MDT FRI MAY 17 2013

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING GUSTY WINDS...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS...

.TONIGHT...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN DECREASING TO POOR
                    AFTER 2400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN DECREASING TO
                    2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900 THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......22500 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

=
$$