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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 190547
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1047 PM MST Thu Apr 18 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Typical springtime weather is forecast with warm,
dry, and breezy conditions persisting through the weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...The current fair weather forecast is in good shape with
no evening update.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /351 PM MST/...Quasi-zonal flow over Arizona will
continue to produce dry conditions across the region, with
typical breezy conditions expected each afternoon through the
weekend. Temperatures will be around 10 degrees above normal
through the weekend.

An open wave trough will approach the southern California coast
early next week. This should increase the winds across northern
Arizona Monday through Wednesday next week. However, dry conditions
should persist. As the trough gets closer to the region,
temperatures should start decreasing by a few degrees by the middle
of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...Friday 19/06Z through Saturday 20/06Z...Look for VFR
conditions under scattered upper-level clouds. Light and variable
winds overnight will become west-southwest at 10-20 kts by Friday
afternoon.

OUTLOOK...Saturday 20/06Z through Monday 22/06Z...VFR conditions
will persist under variable high clouds. Afternoon winds will
become west-northwest at 15-25 kts Saturday followed by southwest
winds at 10-20 kts Sunday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Friday and Saturday...A mild and dry pattern will
continue across northern Arizona. Look for afternoon humidity values
as low as 10 to 15% with moderate recoveries at night. Afternoon
west winds at 15 to 20 mph are forecast.

Sunday through Tuesday...Temperatures warm gradually for next week
with high pressure in place. Afternoon humidity will be in the 10 to
15% range each day with southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph. The weather
pattern looks to become unsettled after Tuesday, however, there are
currently no strong signals for significant precipitation.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...McCollum/TM
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...McCollum

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff