National Weather Service Text Product Display

Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Versions: 1 2
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AXUS72 KMLB 101004
DGTMLB
FLC009-061-069-085-093-095-097-111-117-127-110000-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
604 AM EDT FRI MAY 10 2013

...RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED DROUGHT
CONDITIONS...

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN APRIL AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL IN EARLY MAY HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

ACCORDING TO THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR FROM MAY 7TH, 2013...
*MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS NORTHWEST LAKE
COUNTY.
*ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS LINGER FARTHER EAST TOWARD INTERIOR
VOLUSIA COUNTY...EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ACROSS WESTERN ORANGE AND
OSCEOLA COUNTIES.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
STATE AND LOCAL IMPACTS.
ACCORDING TO THE FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE...NO BURN BANS ARE IN PLACE
OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...NO DROUGHT
IMPACTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE PAST
MONTH.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI) VALUES AS OF MAY 9TH HAVE
DECREASED SUBSTANTIALLY FROM RECENT RAINS AND NOW GENERALLY RANGE
BETWEEN 200-399. THESE VALUES INDICATE LOW TO NORMAL DRYNESS FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.

GROUNDWATER CONDITIONS.
GROUNDWATER READINGS ARE NOW NEAR NORMAL LEVELS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA.

RIVER AND STREAM FLOW CONDITIONS.
THE LATEST 7 DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW FROM THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY (USGS) AS OF MAY 9TH INDICATES STREAMFLOW IS
RANGING FROM NORMAL TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL FOR MANY MEASUREMENT SITES
ACROSS THE AREA.

FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.
ACCORDING TO THE FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE...AS OF MAY 9TH...THE FIRE
DANGER RANGES FROM LOW TO MODERATE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
HERE ARE THE LATEST RAINFALL STATISTICS FOR SELECT SITES ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA...

YEAR TO DATE (ENDING MAY 9TH):

STATION           OBSERVED     30 YEAR   DEPARTURE     PERCENT OF
                  RAINFALL      NORMAL   FROM NORMAL     NORMAL
DAYTONA BEACH       9.59"       12.53"     -2.94"          77
ORLANDO             7.72"       11.83"     -4.11"          65
MELBOURNE          10.52"       10.83"     -0.31"          97
VERO BEACH         10.87"       12.73"     -1.86"          85
CLERMONT            9.79"       12.43"     -2.64"          79
DELAND              9.41"       13.67"     -4.26"          69
SANFORD WP         11.16"       12.69"     -1.53"          88
TITUSVILLE WP      11.36"       12.97"     -1.61"          88
FORT PIERCE ARPT   11.09"       12.41"     -1.32"          89
FORT PIERCE WP     12.69"       12.80"     -0.11"          99
STUART             10.38"       15.30"     -4.92"          68

PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...

THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK (MAY 11-14): MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE OVER THE AREA AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY
MOVES ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL
INCREASE RAIN CHANCES WITH NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL GENERALLY
EXPECTED OVER THE REGION.

6 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK (MAY 15-23): THE CURRENT CLIMATE PREDICTION
CENTER`S (CPC) 6 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK HAS HIGHER ODDS OF BELOW TO NEAR
NORMAL RAINFALL FROM MID TO LATE MAY.

THREE MONTH OUTLOOK (JUN-JUL-AUG): THE WET SEASON NORMALLY PICKS UP
OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE MAY. AS LONG AS THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
DELAY TO THE START OF THE WET SEASON THIS YEAR, ANY LINGERING
RAINFALL DEFICITS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH INTO THE SUMMER.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THIS WILL BE THE LAST DROUGHT STATEMENT UNTIL A TIME WHEN SEVERE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE AREA.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB SITES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV
SOUTHEAST REGION CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://WWW.SERCC.COM
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NOAA.GOV
FLORIDA DIVISION OF FORESTRY...HTTP://WWW.FLAME.FL-DOF.COM
SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT...HTTP://WWW.SFWMD.GOV
SAINT JOHNS RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT...HTTP://WWW.SJRWMD.COM
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY ORLANDO...HTTP://FL.WATER.USGS.GOV
NWS MELBOURNE DRY SEASON OUTLOOK...WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/?N=MLBNINO

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
INFORMATION FOR THIS REPORT WAS PROVIDED BY THE FOLLOWING: THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...FLORIDA
DIVISION OF FORESTRY...NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...THE
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT
DISTRICT...SAINT JOHNS RIVER WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT...AND THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE.

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ON THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

WFO MELBOURNE
421 CROTON ROAD
MELBOURNE, FL 32935
PHONE: 321-255-0212
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

WEITLICH
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
