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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 181242
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
842 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures and dry downslope flow will lead to low
RH values today. A sea breeze will form at the coast around
12-1pm pushing inland through the rest of the afternoon.
Rain chances will increase on Friday as a cold front moves across
the area. The front stalls in the area for the weekend,
maintaining elevated rain chances. High pressure next week leads
to drying conditions once more.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-190445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
842 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Showers
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 59 85
Min/Max RH (%) 27 98 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 SW 5 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 7 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 63/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 3200
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 120000 41600
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 27 Fair
ADI Late 113 Very Good5 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 88 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-190445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
842 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 60 89
Min/Max RH (%) 26 96 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 6 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7700 4800
Transport Wind (mph) NW 14 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 107800 62400
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 78 Good 26 Fair
ADI Late 112 Very Good4 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Chance of showers 90 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-190445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
842 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 61 88
Min/Max RH (%) 29 97 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 4 SW 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 5600
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 87600 72800
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 26 Fair
ADI Late 81 Good 5 Very Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs around
70. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-190445-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
842 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 61 89
Min/Max RH (%) 28 97 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7400 6500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 10 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74000 91000
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 62 Good 28 Fair
ADI Late 91 Good 5 Very Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Highs around
70. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Chance of showers 80 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-190445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
842 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 60 89
Min/Max RH (%) 25 92 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 6 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 6100
Transport Wind (mph) NW 12 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 90000 91500
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 63 Good 23 Fair
ADI Late 96 Good 4 Very Poor 88 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 39 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Denver/Boulder, CO Weather Forecast Office
- 325 Broadway
- Boulder, CO 80305-3328
- 303-494-3210 for a recording call 303-494-4221
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- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC