River Forecast
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044
FGUS56 KRSA 210957
RVFCC

CENTRAL COAST FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
152 AM PLT TUE FEB 21 2017

NEXT ISSUANCE:     TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 2017 AT  9AM PLT

FORECASTS THROUGH: SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 25, 2017 AT  4AM PLT

ATTENTION... THE FOLLOWING STAGES OF PARTICULAR SIGNIFICANCE
             HAVE OCCURRED OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR:
FLOOD STAGE
        CARMEL RIVER - ROBLES DEL RIO (RDRC1) *
        COYOTE CREEK - EDENVALE (CYEC1) *

MONITOR STAGE
        PAJARO RIVER - CHITTENDEN (AROC1) *
        SALINAS RIVER - BRADLEY (BRDC1) IN 15 HRS *
        SALINAS RIVER - SPRECKLES (SPRC1) IN 14 HRS *

***********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES- Heavy rain for the past 24 hours has produced
significant rises on numerous central California coastal rivers
and streams.  Currently rises above flood stage have occurred on
the Carmel river and Coyote creek with a crest on Coyote creek
at Edenvale not expected until later today.
***********************************************************************

RIVER
   LOCATION               STAGE    FLOW      TIME    DATE         LEAD
   (NWSLI)                (FT)     (CFS)     (PT)  (MM/DD/YY)     TIME
--------------------      -----  --------    ----  ----------    ------
PAJARO RIVER         OBS   25.6    7,820 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (24)
   CHITTENDEN        >MS   25.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (AROC1)           >FS   32.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   29.8   12,800 AT  11AM   02/21/17 IN   9 HRS*

SALINAS RIVER        OBS   17.9    2,510 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (18)
   PASO ROBLES       >MS   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (PRBC1)           >FS   29.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   19.3    3,630 AT   4PM   02/21/17 IN  14 HRS

SALINAS RIVER        OBS   10.6    7,220 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (24)
   BRADLEY           >MS   12.0          BY   5PM   02/21/17 IN  15 HRS*
   (BRDC1)           >FS   14.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   12.4   11,400 AT   2AM   02/22/17 IN  24 HRS*

SALINAS RIVER        OBS   16.5    6,350 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (24)
   SPRECKLES         >MS   20.0          BY   4PM   02/21/17 IN  14 HRS*
   (SPRC1)           >FS   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   21.7   14,300 AT  12AM   02/22/17 IN  22 HRS*

CARMEL RIVER         OBS   10.0    9,370 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (18)
   ROBLES DEL RIO    >MS    7.5          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (RDRC1)           >FS    8.5          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
                     MAX   10.0    9,370 AT  CURRENT TIME              *

GUADALUPE RIVER      OBS    7.0    2,040 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (18)
   ALMADEN EXPRWY    >MS   10.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (GUDC1)           >FS   13.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX    7.0    2,040 AT  CURRENT TIME

GUADALUPE RIVER      OBS   14.8    6,460 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (18)
   SAN JOSE          >MS   15.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (GSJC1)           >FS   17.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   14.8    6,460 AT  CURRENT TIME

COYOTE CREEK         OBS   10.9    4,970 AT   1AM   02/21/17      (18)
   EDENVALE          >MS    8.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (CYEC1)           >FS   10.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
                     MAX   12.3    7,790 AT  10AM   02/21/17 IN   8 HRS*

DEFINITIONS:
OBS   MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
MS    MONITOR STAGE
FS    FLOOD STAGE
MAX   MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
LEAD TIME  FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
           RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.
*     EVENT EXCEEDS MS/FS/DS WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD

SIM   02/21/2017 @ 0144P (C)

NOTE:  ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC

.A  AROC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG   25.6
.ER AROC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    27.2/  28.4/  29.0/  29.3/  29.6/  29.7/  29.8/  29.8/  29.8/  29.8/
.ER2    29.8/  29.8/  29.7/  29.6/  29.5/  29.4/  29.3/  29.1/  29.0/  28.8/
.ER3    28.7/  28.5/  28.3/  28.2/  28.0/  27.8/  27.6/  27.4/  27.2/  27.0/
.ER4    26.8/  26.6/  26.4/  26.2/  26.1/  25.9/  25.7/  25.5/  25.3/  25.1/
.ER5    24.9/  24.7/  24.5/  24.2/  24.0/  23.8/  23.5/  23.3/  23.1/  22.9/
.ER6    22.7/  22.5/  22.3/  22.1/  21.9/  21.7/  21.5/  21.4/  21.2/  21.0/
.ER7    20.8/  20.6/  20.4/  20.2/  20.1/  19.9/  19.7/  19.5/  19.4/  19.2/
.ER8    19.0/  18.9/  18.7/  18.6/  18.4/  18.3/  18.1/  18.0/  17.9/  17.8/
.ER9    17.6/  17.5/  17.4/  17.3/  17.1/  17.0/  16.9/  16.8/  16.7/  16.6/
.ER10   16.5/  16.4/  16.2/  16.1/  16.0/  15.9/  15.8/  15.7/  15.6/

.A  PRBC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG   17.9
.ER PRBC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    17.9/  17.9/  17.9/  18.0/  18.1/  18.3/  18.6/  18.8/  18.9/  19.0/
.ER2    19.1/  19.2/  19.3/  19.3/  19.3/  19.3/  19.2/  19.1/  19.1/  19.0/
.ER3    18.9/  18.8/  18.7/  18.6/  18.5/  18.5/  18.4/  18.3/  18.2/  18.2/
.ER4    18.1/  18.0/  17.9/  17.9/  17.8/  17.7/  17.7/  17.6/  17.5/  17.5/
.ER5    17.4/  17.3/  17.3/  17.2/  17.2/  17.2/  17.1/  17.1/  17.0/  17.0/
.ER6    16.9/  16.9/  16.9/  16.8/  16.8/  16.7/  16.7/  16.7/  16.6/  16.6/
.ER7    16.5/  16.5/  16.5/  16.4/  16.4/  16.4/  16.3/  16.3/  16.3/  16.3/
.ER8    16.2/  16.2/  16.2/  16.1/  16.1/  16.1/  16.1/  16.0/  16.0/  16.0/
.ER9    16.0/  15.9/  15.9/  15.9/  15.9/  15.8/  15.8/  15.8/  15.8/  15.7/
.ER10   15.7/  15.7/  15.7/  15.6/  15.6/  15.6/  15.6/  15.5/  15.5/

.A  BRDC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG   10.6
.ER BRDC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    10.8/  11.0/  11.1/  11.2/  11.4/  11.5/  11.6/  11.7/  11.7/  11.8/
.ER2    11.8/  11.8/  11.9/  11.9/  12.0/  12.0/  12.1/  12.1/  12.2/  12.2/
.ER3    12.3/  12.3/  12.4/  12.4/  12.4/  12.4/  12.4/  12.3/  12.3/  12.3/
.ER4    12.2/  12.2/  12.1/  12.1/  12.1/  12.1/  12.1/  12.0/  12.0/  12.0/
.ER5    11.9/  11.9/  11.8/  11.8/  11.7/  11.7/  11.7/  11.6/  11.6/  11.5/
.ER6    11.5/  11.5/  11.4/  11.4/  11.4/  11.3/  11.3/  11.3/  11.2/  11.2/
.ER7    11.2/  11.2/  11.1/  11.1/  11.1/  11.1/  11.1/  11.0/  11.0/  11.0/
.ER8    11.0/  11.0/  11.0/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/
.ER9    10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/
.ER10   10.7/  10.7/  10.7/  10.7/  10.7/  10.7/  10.7/  10.7/  10.7/

.A  SPRC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG   16.5
.ER SPRC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    16.5/  16.5/  16.5/  16.6/  16.8/  16.9/  17.1/  17.3/  17.4/  17.7/
.ER2    18.2/  18.7/  19.2/  19.7/  20.2/  20.6/  20.8/  21.0/  21.2/  21.4/
.ER3    21.6/  21.7/  21.7/  21.7/  21.7/  21.7/  21.7/  21.6/  21.6/  21.5/
.ER4    21.5/  21.4/  21.3/  21.3/  21.2/  21.2/  21.1/  21.0/  21.0/  21.0/
.ER5    20.9/  20.9/  20.9/  20.9/  20.9/  20.9/  20.9/  20.8/  20.8/  20.8/
.ER6    20.8/  20.8/  20.7/  20.7/  20.7/  20.7/  20.7/  20.6/  20.6/  20.6/
.ER7    20.6/  20.6/  20.5/  20.5/  20.5/  20.4/  20.4/  20.3/  20.3/  20.3/
.ER8    20.2/  20.1/  20.1/  20.0/  19.9/  19.9/  19.8/  19.8/  19.7/  19.6/
.ER9    19.5/  19.5/  19.4/  19.4/  19.3/  19.2/  19.2/  19.1/  19.1/  19.0/
.ER10   19.0/  18.9/  18.9/  18.8/  18.8/  18.7/  18.7/  18.6/  18.6/

.A  RDRC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG   10.0
.ER RDRC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     9.5/   9.3/   9.1/   8.9/   8.6/   8.4/   8.3/   8.1/   7.9/   7.7/
.ER2     7.5/   7.4/   7.3/   7.3/   7.2/   7.1/   7.1/   7.0/   7.0/   6.9/
.ER3     6.9/   6.8/   6.8/   6.8/   6.7/   6.6/   6.6/   6.5/   6.5/   6.4/
.ER4     6.4/   6.3/   6.3/   6.2/   6.2/   6.1/   6.1/   6.0/   5.9/   5.9/
.ER5     5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.7/   5.7/   5.6/   5.6/   5.6/   5.5/   5.5/
.ER6     5.5/   5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.2/
.ER7     5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/   5.0/   5.0/   5.0/
.ER8     5.0/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.9/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8/
.ER9     4.7/   4.7/   4.7/   4.7/   4.6/   4.6/   4.6/   4.6/   4.6/   4.5/
.ER10    4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/   4.4/

.A  GUDC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG    7.0
.ER GUDC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     6.5/   6.1/   5.6/   5.5/   5.3/   5.1/   4.9/   4.7/   4.4/   4.3/
.ER2     4.2/   4.1/   4.0/   3.9/   3.8/   3.7/   3.7/   3.6/   3.5/   3.4/
.ER3     3.3/   3.3/   3.2/   3.2/   3.1/   3.1/   3.0/   3.2/   3.3/   3.4/
.ER4     3.5/   3.6/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/
.ER5     3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/
.ER6     3.8/   3.8/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/
.ER7     3.7/   3.7/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/
.ER8     3.6/   3.6/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/
.ER9     3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.4/   3.4/   3.4/   3.4/   3.4/   3.4/   3.4/
.ER10    3.4/   3.4/   3.4/   3.4/   3.3/   3.3/   3.3/   3.3/   3.3/

.A  GSJC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG   14.8
.ER GSJC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    14.3/  13.9/  13.4/  12.9/  12.8/  12.8/  12.8/  12.9/  12.9/  12.8/
.ER2    12.6/  12.3/  12.0/  11.6/  11.3/  11.0/  10.7/  10.5/  10.3/  10.2/
.ER3    10.1/  10.1/  10.0/   9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/
.ER4     9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/
.ER5     9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/   9.4/   9.4/   9.3/
.ER6     9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/
.ER7     9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/   8.9/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/
.ER8     8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.4/
.ER9     8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.3/   8.3/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.1/   8.1/
.ER10    8.1/   8.1/   8.0/   8.0/   8.0/   7.9/   7.9/   7.9/   7.8/

.A  CYEC1 20170221 Z DH09/HG   10.9
.ER CYEC1 20170221 Z DH10/DC201702210944/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    11.1/  11.4/  11.5/  11.9/  12.0/  12.1/  12.2/  12.2/  12.3/  12.3/
.ER2    12.3/  12.3/  12.3/  12.3/  12.2/  12.3/  12.3/  12.2/  12.2/  12.2/
.ER3    12.1/  12.1/  12.0/  11.9/  11.8/  11.7/  11.6/  11.4/  11.3/  11.2/
.ER4    11.1/  11.0/  10.9/  10.8/  10.6/  10.5/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/  10.1/
.ER5    10.1/  10.0/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/
.ER6     9.4/   9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/
.ER7     8.9/   8.9/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/
.ER8     8.6/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.3/   8.3/
.ER9     8.3/   8.2/   8.2/   8.2/   8.1/   8.1/   8.1/   8.1/   8.0/   8.0/
.ER10    8.0/   7.9/   7.9/   7.9/   7.8/   7.8/   7.8/   7.7/   7.7/

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