Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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000 FXUS61 KBOX 012122 AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 422 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION VERY LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY EVENING WITH HEAVY SNOW FOR MANY LOCATIONS. BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS FOLLOW LATER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT MAY LINGER CLOSE ENOUGH TO AFFECT THE COAST ON THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS ANOTHER DOSE OF VERY COLD AIR STARTING THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SATURDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/... DRY WEATHER CONTINUES TO PREVAIL TODAY AS ARCTIC FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH. A FEW SCT CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BUT OVERALL A QUIET DAY. TEMPERATURES HAVE REBOUNDED NICELY FROM A VERY CHILLY MORNING WITH HIGHS TOUCHING 32F HERE IN TAUNTON AND IN THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY. THIS IS ONE OF THE WARMEST DAYS WE HAVE SEEN WITHIN THE PAST WEEK AND COULD BE THE WARMEST THIS UPCOMING WEEK. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS BUT THIS SHOULD BEGIN TO DISSIPATE BY SUNSET. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... HIGHLIGHTS... * MAJOR WINTER STORM VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO MON EVENING * HEAVY SNOWFALL EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE REGION * BIGGEST UNCERTAINTY IS SNOWFALL AMTS ACROSS RI AND SE MA DUE TO PTYPE ISSUES OVERVIEW... MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A PROGRESSIVE BUT RATHER POTENT MID LEVEL TROF WHICH MOVES EAST INTO SNE MON AND BECOMES NEGATIVELY TILTED. THE SFC LOW TRACKS EAST FROM THE OH VALLEY AND APPEARS TO JUMP/REDEVELOP ALONG THE MID ATLC COAST...TRACKING NEAR OR JUST S OF LONG ISLAND TO ACK DURING MONDAY. WITH ARCTIC HIGH IN PLACE TO THE NORTH...PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL COLD AIR IN PLACE BUT WARMING ALOFT WILL MAKE FOR A TRICKY SNOWFALL FORECAST NEAR THE S COAST. GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON QPF WITH 0.75-1.00" WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS SE NEW ENG...BUT THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES WITH THE THERMAL PROFILE. NAM IS THE COLDEST BUT LIKELY A RESULT OF IT BEING FASTER WITH THE SFC LOW. GFS HAS TRENDED A BIT COLDER WHILE ECMWF A BIT WARMER AND ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES EXIST ALOFT. GIVEN STRONG SW FLOW ALOFT ALL MODELS SHOW WARMING IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER MOVING NORTH ALONG THE SNE COAST DURING MON. THE UNCERTAINTY FOR THE SNOWFALL FORECAST IS DETERMINING HOW FAR N THE MIX LINE GETS. SYSTEM REMAINS AN OPEN WAVE AT 700 MB AS IT CROSSES CENTRAL NEW ENG LATE MON SO NOT LOOKING AT TYPICAL BANDING SIGNAL ASSOCD WITH STRONG MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS. THIS WILL BE A CLASSIC STRONG OVERRUNNING EVENT AS MILDER AIR AND MOISTURE OVERRUNS VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS SNE WITH ARCTIC TO THE NORTH. 1) TIMING AND PTYPE SNOW DEVELOPS IN THE CT VALLEY BY MIDNIGHT THEN QUICKLY OVERSPREADS THE REST OF SNE THROUGH DAYBREAK. THE SNOW WILL QUICKLY BECOME HEAVY LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND WILL HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE MORNING COMMUTE. GOOD SNOW GROWTH AROUND 12Z AND STRONG MID LEVEL OMEGA WILL RESULT IN A GOOD FRONT END THUMP WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR ACROSS THE REGION FOR SEVERAL HOURS IN THE MORNING. THE UNCERTAINTY INCREASES CLOSER TO THE S COAST MID/LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WARMER AIR ALOFT SURGES NORTHWARD. WE BLENDED THE MODELS WHICH SUGGEST A MIX OR CHANGE TO SLEET BRIEFLY GETTING TO MA/N RI BORDER BY MIDDAY BEFORE COLLAPSING SE DURING THE AFTERNOON. FURTHER S...DEEPER WARM LAYER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE SOUTH COAST AND POSSIBLY SOME RAIN AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS. A CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN IS MOST LIKELY OVER THE ISLANDS. ANY RAIN OR MIXED PRECIP WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW MID/LATE AFTERNOON BUT NOT UNTIL EVENING FOR THE OUTER/CAPE ISLANDS. THIS IS STILL A VERY TRICKY PTYPE FORECAST DUE TO THE STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL TEMP GRADIENT SO PTYPE WILL BE VERY SENSITIVE TO JUST A MINOR SHIFT IN THE SFC AND 850 MB LOW TRACK. SNOWFALL IN THE AFTERNOON WILL NOT BE AS HEAVY AS THE MORNING AS BEST ISENTROPIC LIFT WEAKENS AND SNOW GROWTH NOT QUITE AS FAVORABLE...BUT STILL SOME DECENT SNOWFALL ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTH. 2) SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS AND HEADLINES WE HAVE HIGH CONFIDENCE IN HEAVY SNOWFALL FOR MUCH OF THE REGION WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MASS PIKE WHERE DEFINITELY NO MIXING ISSUES. EXPECT SNOW ACCUM AROUND A FOOT FOR THIS REGION...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS AROUND 6 TO 10 INCHES FURTHER S ACROSS RI AND SE MA DUE TO MIXING ISSUES. WE HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FOR UP TO 6 INCHES NEAR THE S COAST TO UPGRADE TO A WARNING. IN ADDITION THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION NEAR THE COAST. AMOUNTS MAY FALL SHORT OF 6 INCHES ON CAPE COD...BUT WE INCLUDED THEM IN THE WARNING DUE TO COMBINATION OF SNOW AND SOME ICE. FOR THE ISLANDS...WE WILL GO WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ACCUM 2 TO 5 INCHES...LEAST ON NANTUCKET. 3) STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH EXPECTED ALONG THE EASTERN MASS COAST MONDAY AS STORM INTENSIFIES AND PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES. THIS WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITY ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. ITS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW LOCATIONS ALONG THE COAST COULD SEE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR A VERY SHORT TIME...BUT STORM DOESN/T SEEM TO WARRANT THOSE TYPE OF HEADLINES. 4) TEMPS A VERY STRONG COASTAL FRONT WILL SET UP DURING MONDAY WITH TEMPS IN THE TEENS NORTH OF I-84 TO I-90 CORRIDOR AND WEST OF I-495 WITH EVEN SOME SINGLE NUMBERS FAR N/NW MA...WHILE TEMPS WILL REACH THE LOWER TO MID 30S SE MA. A FLASH FREEZE IS LIKELY ACROSS SE COASTAL MA AND CAPE/ISLANDS IN THE EVENING AS THE COASTAL FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND TEMPS PLUMMET. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... BIG PICTURE... CONTOUR FIELDS TUESDAY SHOW A FLAT FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN USA WITH NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN JET STREAMS. THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM GETS STITCHED TOGETHER FROM THREE PIECES: POLAR SHORTWAVE DIVING SOUTH THROUGH WESTERN CANADA...PACIFIC SHORTWAVE MOVING ASHORE IN BC MONDAY...AND REMNANTS OF BAJA UPPER LOW EJECTING EAST LATE TUESDAY. ALL THREE PHASE OVER THE EASTERN USA WEDNESDAY- THURSDAY WITH THE TROUGH AXIS CROSSING NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY NIGHT. LATER...NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH SWEEPS ACROSS EASTERN CANADA OVER THE WEEKEND. TRAILING TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THE SUPPORTING JET AND APPROACHES SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. NORMAL CONTOUR HEIGHTS FOR JAN-FEB PERIOD ARE 5400-5450 METERS. FORECAST CONTOUR HEIGHTS ARE NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL MOST OF THE PERIOD...EXCEPT MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG THE MODELS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. PAST THAT THERE IS AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL PATTERN BUT DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS. WE USED A BLEND OF THE DATA. DAILIES... TUESDAY... HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST WILL PROVIDE A DRY DAY. DIMINISHING NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST WITH OVER-WATER SPEEDS OF 12-16 KNOTS. THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH AN AIR-WATER TEMP DELTA OF 18-20C TO MAINTAIN OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS JUST OUTSIDE OF OUTER CAPE COD IN THE MORNING BUT WITH A DIMINISHING TREND ALONG WITH THE WIND. TEMPS ALOFT WILL BE EQUIVILENT TO -20C TO -24C...SUPPORTING CHILLY MAX SFC TEMPS IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. WEDNESDAY... AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFT EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH INCREASING MOISTURE ALOFT BRINGING INCREASING CLOUDS. COLD FRONT THEN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY AND ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TWO JET STREAMS IN PLACE WEDNESDAY ACTUALLY CLASH WEDNESDAY...LEFT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE SOUTHERN JET AND RIGHT EXIT REGION OF THE NORTHERN JET...BUT MODELS SHOW ENOUGH MOISTURE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT ESPECIALY ACROSS NORTHERN MASS TO EXPECT SOME SNOW WEDNESDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY A BREAK IN THE AFTERNOON AND THEN SNOW SHOWERS ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COASTAL AREAS SUCH AS CAPE COD AND ISLANDS COULD STAY WARM ENOUGH TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN. THURSDAY...COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE ABOUT THE TIME THAT THE UPPER TROUGH PHASES AND DEEPENS. COASTAL NEW ENGLAND AND THE OFFSHORE WATERS WILL BE UNDER THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE COMBINED UPPER JET. THIS WOULD SUGGEST ONE OR MORE WAVES DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT AFTER IT MOVES OFFSHORE. THIS WOULD MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF SNOW IN RI AND EASTERN MASS DURING THURSDAY. WE CONTINUED A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THESE AREAS. GENERAL SNOW TAPERS OFF THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT AND ITS WAVE MOVE FARTHER TO SEA. BUT COLD AIR IS DRAWN IN WITH AIR-WATER DELTA OF 18-20C AND STRONG GUSTY NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS. SO EXPECT MORE OCEAN-EFFECT SNOW BANDS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT...WITH A FETCH THAT FAVORS HITS ON THE MID AND OUTER CAPE. THE GUSTY NORTH-NORTHWEST WIND WILL ALSO GENERATE SUB-ZERO WIND CHILLS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH CHILLS OF 10 TO 15 BELOW ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASS. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON FRIDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES INLAND AND LINGERING OCEAN EFFECT SNOW OVER OR JUST EAST OF OUTER CAPE COD. EASTERN CANADA UPPER TROUGH WILL DRIVE ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON SATURDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY COLD AIR. THIS FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE TROUGH THAT MAY DEVELOP TO OUR SOUTHWEST OVER THE WEEKEND. IF IT DOES...IT IS POSITIONED CORRECTLY TO FORM ANOTHER LOW ALONG THE STALLED FRONT. THAT LOW WOULD THEN MOVE UP THE EAST COAST AT THE END OF OUR FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS COMES AT THE END OF DAY SEVEN...WE WILL KEEP POPS JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND ALLOW THE MODEL SOLUTIONS TO MATURE. && .AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS... LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT. HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT. SHORT TERM.../THROUGH MONDAY/... BEFORE 00Z...HIGH CONFIDENCE. MAINLY VFR. MAY SEE PATCHY MVFR CIGS ACROSS N CT/RI DURING THE AFTERNOON. TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TRENDS BUT LOWER CONFIDENCE IN TIMING. VFR WILL DETERIORATE TO IFR-LIFR CIGS/VSBYS IN MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT TO DAYBREAK FROM WEST TO EAST. IFR/LIFR IN MOD/HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES THROUGH THE DAY MON. PTYPE MAY TRANSITION TO A PERIOD OF SLEET/FREEZING RAIN AROUND MIDDAY FROM HFD-PVD-PYM SOUTH AND CHANGING TO RAIN OVER THE CAPE/ISLANDS. NE WIND GUSTS TO 30-35 KT DEVELOPING ACROSS E COASTAL MA MONDAY...WITH 25 KT ACROSS RI AND REMAINDER OF E MA. SNOWFALL RATES WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 1-2 INCH PER HOUR AND COULD BE AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES PER HOUR. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN PLOWABLE SNOW ACROSS ALL AIRPORTS NORTH AND WEST OF THE CANAL. MONDAY NIGHT...CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR FROM WEST TO EAST THOUGH THE OVERNIGHT. LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TIMING. KBOS TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE. LOWER CONFIDENCE IN EXACT TIMING OF IFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW. KBDL TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE. LOWER CONFIDENCE IN EXACT TIMING OF IFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW. OUTLOOK /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... TUESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE... VFR. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY...LOW CONFIDENCE... MVFR OR BRIEF IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS. BEST CHANCE IS ACROSS NORTHERN MASS. THURSDAY...LOW CONFIDENCE... VFR WESTERN MASS AND CONNECTICUT. MVFR OR BRIEF IFR IN LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS FOR EASTERN MASS AND RI. FRIDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE... VFR. && .MARINE... FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS... LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT. HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT. SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...HIGH CONFIDENCE. TODAY...WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY BUT EXPECT SCA WAVES TO REMAIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY WILL PERSIST. TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. WINDS/SEAS QUICKLY RAMP UP DURING MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES NEAR THE SOUTH COAST. GALE WATCHES CONTINUE. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR GUSTS TO 40 KT MONDAY WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN MA COASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF CAPE COD...WITH LIGHTER WINDS OVER THE SOUTH COASTAL WATER. SEAS BUILD TO 15+ FEET ACROSS OUR EASTERN WATERS BY LATE MON AFTERNOON/EVENING. OUTLOOK...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...LOW-MODERATE CONFIDENCE. TUESDAY... NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS MORNING...DIMINISHING BY AFTERNOON. SEAS START AT 5-9 FEET AND SHOULD SUBSIDE IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING WILL DIMINISH AS THE WINDS ALSO DIMINISH. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF THE OUTER CAPE IN THE MORNING WILL MOVE OUT TO SEA BY AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY...LOW PRESSURE AND COLD FRONT RACE EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES. EXPECT LESS WIND BUT ALSO REDUCED VSBYS IN SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS MOSTLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND AT NIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST LATE AT NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SEAS START THE DAY BELOW 5 FEET BUT THEN INCREASE TO 5-8 FEET ON THE OUTER WATERS AND ON RI SOUND BY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. THURSDAY...COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE WATERS AS WINDS INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. COLD AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND MAY GENERATE FREEZING SPRAY BY THURSDAY EVENING AND THURSDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE DEPARTING FRONT AND PASS EAST OF THE WATERS...BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING RAIN AND SNOW...AND INCREASE THE WIND TO 25-30 KNOTS. SEAS OF 5 TO 8 FEET WILL SUBSIDE THURSDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. FRIDAY... NORTH WINDS REACHING 30 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH AT NIGHT. SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 5 FEET. OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BRING AREAS OF LOWER VSBYS ON THE WATERS EAST OF MASSACHUSETTS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... *** POCKETS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE MONDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE ALONG BOSTON/S SOUTH SHORE BUT NO MAJOR PROBLEMS EXPECTED*** SEAS WILL NOT REALLY BE RAMPED UP IN TIME FOR THE MID TO LATE MONDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE ALONG THE EASTERN MA COAST. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND TO RESULT IN A 1 TO 1.5 FOOT STORM SURGE. ITS MARGINAL...BUT MAY SEE SOME POCKETS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAINLY ACROSS BOSTON/S SOUTH SHORE. WHILE SIGNIFICANT PROBLEMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...AREAS FROM HULL...TO SCITUATE...TO MARSHFIELD AND DUXBURY WERE HIT VERY HARD FROM LAST WEEK/S BLIZZARD. POCKETS OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING MAY DELAY SOME OF THE CLEANUP AND REPAIRS ON GOING IN THAT REGION...SO FELT IT WAS WORTH ISSUING AN ADVISORY FOR THAT REGION. THERE IS ANOTHER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE LATE MONDAY EVENING...BUT ITS A FOOT LOWER AND BY THEN WINDS ARE ALREADY OFFSHORE. THEREFORE...ITS REALLY JUST THE MONDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE THAT WERE CONCERNED ABOUT AND ANY ISSUES FROM THAT WILL LIKELY BE VERY MINOR. && .CLIMATE... WITH EXTREMELY COLD AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW MONDAY NIGHT...TEMPERATURES MAY FALL BACK CLOSE TO OR SURPASSING RECORD LEVELS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. EXPECTED HIGH TEMPS ON TUESDAY WILL BE CHILLY AS WELL...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE THE RECORD COLDEST MAX TEMPS FOR THE DATE. HERE ARE THE RECORD LOWS FOR TUESDAY 2/3... BOSTON -5 SET IN 1881 PROVIDENCE -6 SET IN 1961 WORCESTER -7 SET IN 1931, 1955 AND 1971 WINDSOR LOCKS -3 SET IN 1955 BLUE HILL OBS -7 SET IN 1955 HERE ARE THE RECORD LOW MAX TEMPS FOR TUESDAY 2/3... BOSTON 14 SET IN 1917 PROVIDENCE 12 SET IN 1917 WORCESTER 8 SET IN 1955 WINDSOR LOCKS 12 SET IN 1917 BLUE HILL OBS 9 SET IN 1917 && .BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR CTZ002>004. MA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR MAZ023-024. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR MAZ002>022-026. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO NOON EST MONDAY FOR MAZ016- 019-022. RI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR RIZ008. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR RIZ001>007. MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256. GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ231>235-237. GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ230- 236. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ250- 254-255. GALE WARNING FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR ANZ250- 251-254>256. && $$ SYNOPSIS...WTB/KJC NEAR TERM...DUNTEN SHORT TERM...KJC LONG TERM...WTB AVIATION...WTB/DUNTEN MARINE...WTB/KJC TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... CLIMATE...

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