Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FNUS71 KBOX 221046
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Camp Edwards SW Buffer Subunit F...NE-FFM
National Weather Service Taunton MA
646 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will bring warm and dry weather today. Weak
seabreezes are possible along the immediate coast. Increasing
humidity Friday with low risk of an afternoon shower or
thunderstorm.


.TODAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3000-29300 knot-ft).
CEILING (KFT).......25.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Dewpoint............56.
LVORI...............3.
CWR.................0 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max apparent temp...72.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......500-1900 ft AGL, increasing to 1400-3300 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 900 ft AGL late.
ADI.................8, increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 34 early, decreasing to 26 late.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph, increasing to 17 to 20
                    mph late.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   7   12  18  23  28  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............74  76  77  78  78  78  77  76
Dewpoint........57  57  57  57  57  56  56  56
RH..............55  52  50  48  48  47  48  50
Heat index (F)..74  76  77  78  78  78  77  76
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   9   10  12  12  13
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.5   6   7   9   10  12  12  13
Surface wnd gst.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  13  14  16  17  20
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
ADI.............27  31  33  38  38  30  27  24
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/100021  27  27  29  28  26  21  16
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft).
CEILING (KFT).......25, decreasing to 3.5.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Dewpoint............58, increasing to 61 late.
LVORI...............4.
CWR.................0 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max apparent temp...70.
Surface winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
ADI.................15, decreasing to 12 around midnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 17 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  44  49  51  53  56  64  73  82  82  82  81
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  70  67  66  65  64  64  64  63  63  62  62
Dewpoint........56  56  57  57  57  58  58  59  60  60  61  61
RH..............55  61  70  73  75  81  81  84  90  90  97  97
Heat index (F)..73  70  67  66  65  64  64  64  63  63  62  62
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Surface wnd spd.12  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.17  16  14  13  12  10  10  12  12  13  14  15
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
ADI.............19  12  12  11  10  7   7   8   10  11  12  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/100011  7   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
Ceiling (kft)...25  20  20  15  14  11  9.0 8.0 6.0 5.0 4.5 3.5

.FRIDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft).
CEILING (KFT).......4.0, increasing to 10.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Dewpoint............64, increasing to 66 late.
LVORI...............4.
CWR.................6 percent, increasing to 11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...72.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......300-700 ft AGL.
ADI.................18.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 20 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........81     81     80     80     80     79
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............0      10     10     10     10     10
Temp............63     68     72     74     75     74
Dewpoint........62     64     65     66     67     66
RH..............97     87     79     76     76     76
Heat index (F)..63     68     72     74     75     74
20 ft wind......S 8    S 9    SW 10  SW 12  SW 13  SW 15
20 ft wind gust.10     15     15     15     15     20
Surface wind....S 8    S 9    SW 10  SW 12  SW 13  SW 15
Surface wnd gst.10     15     15     15     15     20
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    600    700    700    700
Transport wind..SW 14  SW 13  SW 16  SW 18  SW 20  SW 20
LVORI...........5      4      3      3      3      3
ADI.............15     14     18     20     21     21
Haines index....3      4      4      4      3      4
VRate kt-ft/10004      5      9      11     12     13
Ceiling (kft)...4.0    4.0    6.0    8.0    9.0    10

$$
Forecaster...KJC
Requested by...Joel R. Carlson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1711413.0/BOX
.EMAIL Joelcarlson@ne-ffm.com



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