Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000
FNUS71 KBTV 261342
FWSBTV

SPOT FORECAST FOR PUP HILL FIRE...DEC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
942 AM EDT SUN JUN 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...SOUTHWEST WINDS...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES TODAY...

BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH ARE
EXPECTED AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S.
THE WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL
PRODUCE MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 30 PERCENT.
THE WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST...TEMPERATURES THE WARMEST...AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THE LOWEST BETWEEN 2 PM AND 6 PM TODAY.
AN APPROACHING FRONT WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS ON MONDAY
ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES...BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY FROM THE SOUTHWEST UP TO 25 MPH.
A WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY...ALONG WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND EVEN HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-7200 FT
                    AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING, BECOMING
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............30     40     63     45
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................75     81     84     85
RH..................52     42     36     32
20 FT WIND..........SW 7   SW 10  SW 12  SW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....12     18     20     18
MIX HGT (FT)........3900   5900   6700   7100
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 8   SW 13  SW 15  SW 18
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      10     10
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS TOWARD MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1300-2100 FT
                    AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............39     34     30     25     32     43
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................83     78     70     66     65     63
RH..................38     54     68     75     75     81
20 FT WIND..........SW 10  S 10   S 5    SW 5   SW 6   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....18      15                   10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........6600   5400   3200   1900   1300   1300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 13  SW 14  SW 17  SW 17  SW 15  SW 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0      0      0      10     10     20
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      3      3

.MONDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO 22 TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300-6700 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............51     63     66     70     73     61
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................65     70     73     75     78     77
RH..................75     73     58     50     62     64
20 FT WIND..........SW 7   SW 8   SW 10  SW 13  S 13   SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     20     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)........800    BLW100 1100   2900   5300   6300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 13  SW 8   SW 10  SW 17  SW 24  SW 24
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20     20     30     40     40     30
HAINES INDEX........3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...TABER
REQUESTED BY...RANGER RUSSELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1601026.0/BTV


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