Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
000
FNUS71 KBTV 161257
FWSBTV
Spot Forecast for Steam Mill...Green Mountain National Forest
National Weather Service Burlington VT
857 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
As high pressure continues to build in from the northwest, the air
mass will continue to trend drier although minimum humidity values
still look moderate in the 40 to 50% range this afternoon. Winds
will tend to be northwesterly with gusts occasionally above 20
MPH.
For Wednesday, minimum relative humidity could be down to the
36-41% range with lowest values currently expected at 4 PM. Winds
will be a little lighter in the 10 to 15 MPH range and closer to
350 degrees/NNW.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 13 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28 29 29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1
Temp............50 49 48
RH..............50 54 54
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..13 13 13
20 FT wind gust.18 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 4.0 3.5
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.21 20 20
Haines index....3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 12 mph shifting to the east 7
to 8 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 21 mph decreasing to 8 to 10 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28 28 25 21 19 18 18 17 17 17 17 16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............46 43 41 39 38 36 35 34 32 32 31 31
RH..............58 62 65 67 67 69 72 72 78 75 78 78
20 FT wind dir..NW N N N N N N N E E E E
20 FT wind spd..12 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 8 7 7 7
20 FT wind gust.17 16 15 14 13 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.6 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.21 18 15 15 14 13 12 10 8 8 8 8
Haines index....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17 17 16 17 19 20 24 29 34 38 43 48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............31 32 34 36 40 42 45 47 48 49 50 50
RH..............75 72 69 61 55 50 47 45 46 44 42 44
20 FT wind dir..N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW N N
20 FT wind spd..7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust. 8 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.8 9 10 12 9 8 9 9 9 8 8 7
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
$$
Forecaster...Kutikoff
Requested by...Robert Goulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410967.1/BTV
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.a.goulding@usda.gov