Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS71 KBTV 220716
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Blueberry Lake Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Burlington VT
316 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
An extremely dry airmass across the region will allow for sunny
skies and single digit dewpoints throughout the day. Winds will
increase late this morning into the early afternoon with daytime
heating, with northwesterly gusts of 15 to 25 mph possible. Given
the extremely dry air and sun, minimum RH values are expected to
drop to near critical to critical levels this afternoon. Desite
the sun, temperatures will be on the cooler side today, only
reaching into the upper 40s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   6   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   M   M   1   M   M   1   M   M   1
Temp............29  30  33  35  37  39  41  43  43  44
RH..............48  44  38  33  31  30  27  25  25  26
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  12  12  12  12  10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.22  21  21  20  20  18  18  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.4 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.23  23  23  23  22  21  21  20  18  16
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1 after 2000.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest 6 to 9
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 12
                    to 14 mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............M   M   1   M   M   1   M   M   1   M   M   1
Temp............43  41  37  35  34  34  31  31  31  31  31  31
RH..............28  31  38  41  43  43  49  51  51  51  51  53
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   2   3   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.12  8   5   6   7   8   8   8   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  8   6   8   10  12  13  12  13  13  14  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1 after 0800.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 22 mph increasing to 24 to 26
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  21  14  14  10  12  22  30  32  40  50  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............M   M   1   M   M   1   M   M   1   M   M   1
Temp............32  33  39  43  48  51  53  54  56  56  56  56
RH..............56  58  48  45  39  37  36  38  37  37  38  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   12  12  12  13  14  14  15  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.12  14  16  17  20  20  22  22  23  24  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.0 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.8 5.1 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  14  17  21  22  24  24  24  25  25  26  25
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Kremer
Requested by...Robert Goulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411471.2/BTV
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.a.goulding@usda.gov


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