Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FNUS73 KABR 130835
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Spot Forecast for SDHUR Harter...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
335 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 CDT on April 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Relative humidity recovery will be near 70 percent this morning.
Warmer air will push in today, allowing temperatures to rise into the
low 80s. The drier air will continue, with relative humidity values
falling to near 22 percent. An area of low pressure will shift east
across the fire area between 1000 and 1300. No precipitation is
expected, but winds will shift out of the west by 1200. Winds will
again shift out of the northwest and then out of the north early
this evening.

The well above normal temperatures will continue through Monday,
with continued dry weather through at least Sunday night.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 18 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........6 (high).

TIME (CDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0
Temp............48
RH..............58
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind spd..18
20 FT wind gust.
Smoke Dispersal.PR

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 17 mph shifting to the west
                    12 to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft agl increasing to 1150 ft agl by late
                    morning and to 6300 by 1500.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 18 mph shifting to the west 15 to
                    21 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (97400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (113200
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 (high).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  40  47  41  30  18  7   2   2   2   1   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............47  45  47  53  59  67  71  75  80  81  83  83
RH..............63  68  65  57  47  36  32  29  25  24  22  22
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..17  15  14  13  12  12  12  12  12  13  14  14
20 FT wind gust.21  23  20  19  18  16  16  16  16  17  18  18
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    north 10 to 12 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400-5300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 20 mph shifting to the north 10
                    to 16 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (89500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or (moderate) to (high).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   3   4   6   9   20  4   4   3   3   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............82  79  72  67  64  62  59  57  54  53  51  50
RH..............23  27  33  40  45  46  51  55  59  59  61  61
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  9   8   8   9   11  11  10  10  12  10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  14  13  13  14  16  17  16  15  16  15  14
Smoke Dispersal.GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft agl increasing to 2500 agl by noon, and
                    increasing 4900 ft agl by 1500.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 14 mph shifting out of the east
                    in the morning, and the southeast late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   3   3   2   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  47  50  54  59  63  66  69  71  73  74  74
RH..............61  68  61  54  47  41  36  31  29  27  26  27
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7   8   10  12
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  14  14  14  13  12  10  12  14  15
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Todd Ruzicka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410573.0/ABR
.DELDT 04/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL todd_ruzicka@fws.gov


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