Text Products for FWS Issued by BIS

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
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FNUS73 KBIS 121256
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Blue Ridge...NDGFD
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
756 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies are expected at the burn site today, with possibly some high
clouds streaming over the area. Winds start out light in the morning, but
will become south-southeast by mid-day, increasing to 15 to 18 mph with gusts
up to 25 mph in the afternoon. Minimum humidity values drop to around 24 percent
as temperatures climb into the lower 60s.

Winds remain a bit breezy going into the evening, but diminish overnight.
Cloud cover will be on the increase, but light rain chances are expected to
remain to the north of the burn site.

On Saturday, winds start out light before becoming northwest in the late
morning and afternoon, increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.


.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    south 15 to 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor early in the morning increasing to good
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  26  23  20  10  10  10  12  14  17
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............25  30  36  42  45  52  57  60  62  62
RH..............84  78  66  53  37  32  28  27  25  24
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   9   10  13  15  16  18  18
20 FT wind gust.    7   9   12  15  17  20  20  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.2 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   12  13  15  17  19  22  25  25
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4


.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 18 mph in the evening decreasing to
                    around 6 to 11 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (56500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low to potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable around 5 mph in the early morning, becoming
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph by late morning, then increasing
                    to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to
                    15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor early in the morning increasing to fair in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...SCHILD
Requested by...Dan Halstead
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410467.0/BIS
.DELDT 04/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dkhalstead@nd.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
