Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 201050
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
550 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE FOCUSED NORTHEAST
OF BOTH LAKES TODAY...AS A FRESH COLD AIRMASS WILL DEEPEN OVER THE
REGION. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT WHERE THEY
WILL BE CONCENTRATED OVER THE MORE TYPICAL LAKE SNOW BELTS OF THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL THROUGH FRIDAY.
NOTICEABLY MILDER AIR WILL THEN SURGE INTO OUR REGION DURING THE
UPCOMING AND LAST INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-202115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
550 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       28           18           25
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 21                      W 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 22         W 19         W 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.32         0.03         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                    12            4            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        10 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               56           84           71
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7950          620         7900
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 33         W 19        NW 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              262350        11780       150100
DISPERSION INDEX                  262           12          150
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-202115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
550 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           90           80
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       25           15           22
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18                     NW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 21         W 18         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.37         0.33         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                    12           12           10
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         6 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           90           70
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8750         1130         8040
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 30        NW 26        NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              262500        29380       192960
DISPERSION INDEX                  263           29          193
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-202115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
550 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           50           60
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       29           17           26
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16                      W 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18        SW 17         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.04         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                    12            6            7
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58           88           69
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8340          920         7950
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 24         W 25        NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              200160        23000       190800
DISPERSION INDEX                  200           23          191
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-202115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
550 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           70           50
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       31           14           25
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16                     NW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 19        SW 14         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.67         0.43         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                    12           12            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         6 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58           99           67
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9660          280         7650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 26         W 21         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              251160         5880       153000
DISPERSION INDEX                  251            6          153
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN. NOT AS
COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





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