Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 031006
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 30S TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A WARM
FRONT PUSHES NORTH ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. A WINTRY MIX WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT BRINGING SNOW...SLEET...FREEZING RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON CHANGING OVER TO RAIN TONIGHT. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL
RETURN WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT ACROSS THERE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES
RUNNING UP TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY HELPING
TO DRIVE LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS EAST/SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN CLIMB TO WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL
BY THE COMING WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010-011-032115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90          100           30
PRECIP TYPE                SNOW/FZ RA     FRZ RAIN         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       33           31           35
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5                      W 18
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10         S 16         W 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.12         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     3            9            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           85           71
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2240          590         4340
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 12        SW 22         W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26880        12980        95480
DISPERSION INDEX                   27           13           95
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-032115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100          100           40
PRECIP TYPE                SNOW/FZ RA     FRZ RAIN         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       34           28           34
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  7                      W 15
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 14         S 19         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.22         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     5           11            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           90           69
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1690          350         4070
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 16        SW 22         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               27040         7700        81400
DISPERSION INDEX                   27            8           81
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-032115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90          100           30
PRECIP TYPE                SNOW/FZ RA     FRZ RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       32           28           36
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                      W 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 14         S 19         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.11         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     3            9            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     2 PM   CONTINUING         8 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57           84           66
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2300          590         4330
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 16        SW 21         W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               36800        12390        95260
DISPERSION INDEX                   37           12           95
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-032115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
506 AM EST TUE MAR 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70          100           50
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW   SNOW/FZ RA         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       28           23           34
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5                      W 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 11         S 17         W 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.27         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                     2           11            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     2 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54           94           70
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2780          700         4330
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 16        SW 20         W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               44480        14000       108250
DISPERSION INDEX                   44           14          108
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 10.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 16.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 1.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
18. HIGHS AROUND 30.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$







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