Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 252333
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER A SUNNY END TO THE WEEKEND, CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST
LATER TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. A COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. COOLER
AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT
RAIN SHOWERS NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY, WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER PREVAILING THROUGH MUCH OF THE
COMING WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-260900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                              TONIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           90           90           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       45           73           51           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                SE  7                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  5         S 10        SW 10        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.33         0.30         0.25
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            7            9
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               90           43           97           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         4300            0         7370
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  7         S 17        SW  9        SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        73100            0       169510
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           73            0          170
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-260900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                              TONIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80           90            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       43           72           47           64
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S  8                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR         S 12        SW  9        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.34         0.42         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  4            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 11 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               97           47           97           46
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3            4
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         2700          400         7200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  5         S 20        SW 14        SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        54000         5600       129600
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           54            6          130
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-260900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                              TONIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           90            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       42           73           51           67
AM WIND (MPH)                                SE  9                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR         S 13         S 11        SW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.08         0.44         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               92           42           96           46
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         3700          150         8470
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  5         S 23        SW 10        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        85100         1500       118580
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           85            2          119
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-260900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
733 PM EDT SUN SEP 25 2016

                              TONIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           80            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       36           70           49           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                SE  6                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR        SE 10         S 12        SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.32         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                               5
PRECIP BEGIN                                               8 PM
PRECIP END                                                 6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           35           98           50
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         4450          420         8550
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  2         S 18         S 21        SW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        80100         8820       102600
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           80            9          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$



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