Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 241147 AAA
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CENTER OVERHEAD TODAY WITH SUNNY SKIES AND
LOWERING DEWPOINTS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE
20-25 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GUST 15 TO
25 MPH ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES AND EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO
COUNTIES. WHILE RH WILL MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA...WINDS ARE
CLOSE TO...BUT JUST SHY OF MEETING CRITERIA. WITH A QUARTER
TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN HAVING FALLEN WITHIN THE PAST
48-HOURS...FUELS SHOULD BE FAIRLY MOIST. WFAS GRAPHICS
INDICATE FINE FUEL MOISTURES ARE RUNNING LESS THAN 10 PERCENT
BUT 1000 HOUR FUELS ARE OVER 20 PERCENT. BASED ON THESE DETAILS
WE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FULLY MEET ALL RED FLAG CRITERIA TODAY.

THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST TO NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHIFTS FROM THE MIDWEST
TOWARD NEW YORK. TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RISE
ABOVE NORMAL WITH RAIN SHOWERS ARRIVING ON FRIDAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-242130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       53           33           64
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  8                      E 12
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9      LGT/VAR        SE 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               1 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               24           63           33
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6050            0         4450
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 13         W  4        SE 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               78650            0        80100
DISPERSION INDEX                   79            0           80
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-242130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           32           63
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  7                     SE 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 10      LGT/VAR         S 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                                               3
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               22           57           34
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5870            0         3380
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 13        NE  5         S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               76310            0        77740
DISPERSION INDEX                   76            0           78
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-242130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           31           65
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 10                     SE 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 14         W  5        SE 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               1
PRECIP BEGIN                                               4 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               23           67           32
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6280            0         4900
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 19         W  5        SE 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              119320            0       102900
DISPERSION INDEX                  119            0          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-242130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
747 AM EDT THU APR 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR       MCLEAR        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           27           62
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 14                      E  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 17        NW  7        SE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           66           24
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            5
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7320            0         5890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 21        NW  7        SE 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              153720            0        76570
DISPERSION INDEX                  154            0           77
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





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