Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 302333
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
633 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT, BRINGING RAIN
SHOWERS AND ERODING THE VERY WARM AIRMASS THAT IS IN PLACE. A COLDER
AIRMASS WILL THEN FOLLOW, THURSDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH
LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES THURSDAY THAT WILL MIX
WITH SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010-011-010900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
633 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       40           46           36           43
AM WIND (MPH)                                 W 16                      W 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10        SW 18         W 16         W 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.38         0.00         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                     5                                      2
PRECIP BEGIN                     8 PM                                   8 AM
PRECIP END                       6 AM                             CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           62           91           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)            250         4840         1480         4280
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 10         W 30         W 25         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                2500       145200        37000       111280
DISPERSION INDEX                    3          145           37          111
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-010900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
633 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           30           70           80
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       36           41           32           39
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW 14                      W 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10         W 14         W 13         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.40         0.07         0.10         0.14
PRECIP DURATION                     5            2            8           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     8 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           65           97           70
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)            250         4330         1410         4010
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 11         W 27         W 21         W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                2750       116910        29610       100250
DISPERSION INDEX                    3          117           30          100
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-010900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
633 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           30           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       40           46           34           43
AM WIND (MPH)                                 W 14                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  9         W 15         W 14         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.34         0.03         0.02         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                     4            1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 PM         1 PM   CONTINUING         8 AM
PRECIP END                       4 AM   CONTINUING         9 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               98           61           95           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)            180         4630         1510         3880
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 14         W 27         W 24         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                2520       125010        36240       100880
DISPERSION INDEX                    3          125           36          101
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-010900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
633 PM EST WED NOV 30 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           70           80           80
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       41           46           34           42
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW 12                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 11        SW 12         W 11         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.50         0.12         0.18         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                     5            5           12           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           65           98           68
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)            420         4480         1310         5310
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 17         W 24         W 19         W 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                7140       107520        24890       122130
DISPERSION INDEX                    7          108           25          122
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND A A CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


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