Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 300932
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
532 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL BE A DRY BUT CLOUDY START TO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES OVERHEAD TODAY. A WARM FRONT LIFTING OUT OF THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS AN
ATTENDANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.
SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF MONDAY AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY FROM THE
REGION...HOWEVER COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
FOR MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETTLES
OVER THE REGION.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
532 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       54           44           57
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  8         E  7        SE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.17         0.41
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                  2 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               42           84           64
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4560          120         2840
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10         E 10        SE 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               45600         1200        48280
DISPERSION INDEX                   46            1           48
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
532 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       56           44           57
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  5        SE  5         S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.39         0.31
PRECIP DURATION                                  7            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                  9 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               47           89           66
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4700           60         2600
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  8         E  8         S 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37600          480        49400
DISPERSION INDEX                   38            0           49
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
532 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       54           46           56
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  5         E  5        SE 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.42
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            9
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               43           86           66
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5260            0         3140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  5        NE  7        SE 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26300            0        62800
DISPERSION INDEX                   26            0           63
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
532 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN         RAIN
MIN/MAX TEMP                       62           42           53
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE  7
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.02         0.32
PRECIP DURATION                                  0            9
PRECIP BEGIN                                  5 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               36           84           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6610            0         4740
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  4        NE  6        SE 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26440            0        85320
DISPERSION INDEX                   26            0           85
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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