Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 200827
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
427 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.DISCUSSION...

A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OF WARM AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALSO
STALLS OUT ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND SETS THE STAGE FOR INCREASING
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL LAST THROUGH THURSDAY...BEFORE A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA
AND USHERS IN COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-202115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
427 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           61           84
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7                     SW  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  6        SE  5         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.02         0.17
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  5 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               48           94           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6950           70         6550
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  6        SE  7         W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               41700          490        85150
DISPERSION INDEX                   42            0           85
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-202115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
427 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30           60
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       83           60           84
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  7                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5         S  5        SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.04         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                     1            1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         9 PM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           95           47
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7120           70         7360
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  8         S  9         W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               56960          630       125120
DISPERSION INDEX                   57            1          125
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-202115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
427 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           61           85
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.00         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                     1                         5
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM                      6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           95           49
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7040           70         6960
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  4        SE  6        NW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               28160          420        55680
DISPERSION INDEX                   28            0           56
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-202115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
427 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0           70
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           59           78
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.00         0.21
PRECIP DURATION                     1                         6
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM                      6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           98           58
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            2
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5730           70         4750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  5         N  4         N  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               28650          280        38000
DISPERSION INDEX                   29            0           38
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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