Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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223
FNUS51 KBUF 270533
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
133 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL EXIT EAST OF OUR REGION OVERNIGHT AND THE
COLDER AIR IN ITS WAKE WILL GENERATE SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS
NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES ON TUESDAY MORNING. A SLOW MOVING STORM
SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH COULD THEN KEEP SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER
OVER OUR REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE REST OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-270900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
133 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       50           66           45           71
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  7                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                                SW 11         S  7        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.14         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     2 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               92           38           86           38
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            5
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         8410            0         9140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  6        SW 23         S  5         E 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 420       193430            0       100540
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          193            0          101
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-270900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
133 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       46           66           43           69
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  9                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                                SW 10         S  6        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                                            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                            2 PM
PRECIP END                                                        CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               97           34           87           36
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                10         8560            0         8800
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  7        SW 19         S  5        SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  70       162640            0        88000
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          163            0           88
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-270900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
133 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           69           45           72
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  6                     SE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                                SW  8      LGT/VAR        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               96           34           85           36
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            5            5
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               100         8860            0         7570
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  5        SW 14         S  3         E 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 500       124040            0        83270
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          124            0           83
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-270900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
133 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           67           44           70
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  5                     SE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                                SW  6      LGT/VAR         E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 AM
PRECIP END                       3 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           40           93           43
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               210         8810            0         8390
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  8        SW 11         N  2        SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1680        96910            0        83900
DISPERSION INDEX                    2           97            0           84
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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