Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 020849
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
449 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO OUR SOUTH WILL GUARANTEE A NICE SUMMER
DAY ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY...WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING WELL INTO
THE 80S. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN END TO OUR FAIR WEATHER
LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE
EAST OF THE GENESEE VALLEY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A COMFORTABLY COOL
AIRMASS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT AND SHOULD BE IN PLACE
FOR AT LEAST THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-022115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
449 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       86           67           80
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                     SW 17
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 14        SW 11        SW 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.04         0.21
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                 11 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               36           78           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6540            0         5690
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 17        SW 12         W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              111180            0       142250
DISPERSION INDEX                  111            0          142
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-022115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
449 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           62           81
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                     SW 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13        SW 10        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               34           82           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6880            0         5500
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 15        SW 14        SW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              103200            0       154000
DISPERSION INDEX                  103            0          154
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-022115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
449 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       87           67           83
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                     SW 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12         S  8        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               35           76           47
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8100            0         6160
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 15         S  9        SW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              121500            0       178640
DISPERSION INDEX                  122            0          179
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-022115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
449 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           63           81
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  5                      S 14
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11         S  7        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.04         0.25
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 12 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               38           85           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8500            0         6700
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 16        SW 13        SW 34
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              136000            0       227800
DISPERSION INDEX                  136            0          228
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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