Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 150917
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
417 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A CLOUDY AND DRIZZLY MORNING WILL TURN INTO A CLOUDY AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MID
40S ON TUESDAY...BUT A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN
ACROSS THE AREA. RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW BY WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY AS COLDER AIR ARRIVES FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-152115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
417 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       40           32           45
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE  7
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SE  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                                              11
PRECIP BEGIN                                               6 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               82          100           68
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2330          220         1000
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  2        SE  7        SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                4660         1540        10000
DISPERSION INDEX                    5            2           10
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-152115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
417 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           50           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       41           32           46
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S 11
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.03         0.22
PRECIP DURATION                                  2           12
PRECIP BEGIN                                 12 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               80          100           69
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2120          330         1080
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  7         S 11         S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               14840         3630        16200
DISPERSION INDEX                   15            4           16
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-152115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
417 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       38           30           44
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE  9
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.24
PRECIP DURATION                                               8
PRECIP BEGIN                                               8 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               84          100           69
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2390          510         2170
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  7         S 11         S 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               16730         5610        23870
DISPERSION INDEX                   17            6           24
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-152115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
417 AM EST MON DEC 15 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       34           24           40
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SE  8
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.14
PRECIP DURATION                                               3
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               79          100           66
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2460          370         2560
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W  2        SE  5         S 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                4920         1850        28160
DISPERSION INDEX                    5            2           28
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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