Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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799
FNUS51 KBUF 030920
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
420 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES INTO
QUEBEC TODAY... BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN THROUGH THIS MORNING ALONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK
WEEK...ALONG WITH CHANCES OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-032115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
420 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       61           32           36
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 22                      W 14
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 20        SW 21         W 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.26         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               64           84           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1790          230         5320
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 21        SW 15         W 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37590         3450        79800
DISPERSION INDEX                   38            3           80
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-032115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
420 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           40           50
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       59           28           34
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 27                      W 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 20        SW 17         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.29         0.04         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     8            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               63           90           61
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3980          180         5160
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19         W 16         W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75620         2880       108360
DISPERSION INDEX                   76            3          108
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-032115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
420 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       61           33           38
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 29                      W 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 19        SW 15         W 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.35         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     8            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         7 PM
PRECIP END                       3 PM        10 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               59           81           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1590           30         5620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 16         W 16         W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               25440          480       123640
DISPERSION INDEX                   25            0          124
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-032115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
420 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           40           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       53           32           38
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 23                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 18        SW 14         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.81         0.06         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                    10            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         2 AM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               66           94           59
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              1560           40         5390
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 27        SW 13         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               42120          520       107800
DISPERSION INDEX                   42            1          108
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

CHURCH



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