Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 080938
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
538 AM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
THIS WILL HELP TRIGGER ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN
NEW YORK TONIGHT WITH LINGERING MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT. ON WEDNESDAY SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS
COLD AIR MOVES OVERHEAD. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED BY THURSDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-082115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
538 AM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           60           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           57           75
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                      W  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        SW 15         W  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.26         0.28         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     3            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        12 AM         4 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61          100           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 5            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5450          290         8070
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19         W  7        SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              103550         2030       137190
DISPERSION INDEX                  104            2          137
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-082115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
538 AM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           70           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           55           72
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16        SW 15         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.27         0.38         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                     4            4            1
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING        10 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         3 AM         6 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               63          100           56
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 5            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5600          350         7360
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 20         W  8         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              112000         2800       132480
DISPERSION INDEX                  112            3          132
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-082115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
538 AM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           70           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           58           75
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13        SW 13         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.13         0.42         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING        10 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM         6 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               57          100           50
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 5            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6640          120         7380
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 16        SW 16         W 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              106240         1920       110700
DISPERSION INDEX                  106            2          111
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-082115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
538 AM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           70            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           57           71
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  8                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12        SW 10         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.44         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58          100           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            5            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7020          130         6920
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 16        SW 16         W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              112320         2080       117640
DISPERSION INDEX                  112            2          118
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





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