Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 260533
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
133 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. COOLER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LEAD
TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS NORTHEAST OF THE
LAKES FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, WITH UNSETTLED WEATHER
PREVAILING THROUGH MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-260900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
133 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80          100           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       45           73           50           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S  9                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                                 S  9        SW  9        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.33         0.30         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            4            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING         6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               86           46           99           50
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            3            3
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         4300            0         7370
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  9         S 17        SW  9        SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 630        73100            0       169510
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           73            0          170
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-260900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
133 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80          100            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       44           72           45           64
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S 10                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                                 S 11        SW  8        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.34         0.42         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 12 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        11 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               97           49          100           46
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3            4
LAL                                 1            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         2700          400         7200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  7         S 20        SW 14        SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        54000         5600       129600
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           54            6          130
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-260900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
133 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0          100            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       43           73           50           67
AM WIND (MPH)                                SE 10                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                                 S 14         S 11        SW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.44         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                               6
PRECIP BEGIN                                               6 PM
PRECIP END                                                 2 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               91           45          100           46
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                20         3700          150         8470
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  7         S 23        SW 10        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 140        85100         1500       118580
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           85            2          119
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-260900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
133 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          MON    MON NIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0          100            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       35           69           48           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                SE  7                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                                SE 10         S 11        SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.32         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                               5
PRECIP BEGIN                                               7 PM
PRECIP END                                                 4 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           40          100           50
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                30         4450          420         8550
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  5         S 18         S 21        SW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 150        80100         8820       102600
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           80            9          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$



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