Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 180233
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-organized low
pressure system over Upper Michigan will cross Western and North-
Central New York tonight, with more scattered activity possible
Friday afternoon as the low center slowly passes to our north. An
upper level disturbance will bring another chance for showers
Saturday before high pressure dries things out for the latter half
of the weekend into Monday. Temperatures will run near to slightly
above-normal through the weekend, with warmer temperatures in the
mid 80s possible next week.

NYZ001-002-010-011-180900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
1033 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     90           30           30           30
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       70           79           63           78
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  9                      W  8
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  6        SW 14        SW  9         W  9
Precip amount                    0.32         0.04         0.01         0.00
Precip duration                     8            2            1            2
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing        12 PM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         7 PM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               97           58           93           54
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         6570          170         6950
Transport wind (kt)             SE  7        SW 26        SW  8         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       170820         1360       166800
Dispersion Index                    0          171            1          167
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-180900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
1033 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     90           50           40           40
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       67           79           59           76
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  7                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                    S  5        SW 10         W  7         W  7
Precip amount                    0.32         0.07         0.03         0.01
Precip duration                     9            2            2            2
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing        12 PM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         9 PM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           51          100           50
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         6610            0         5320
Transport wind (kt)              S 11         W 21        SW 10         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       138810            0       111720
Dispersion Index                    0          139            0          112
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-180900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
1033 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     90           50           40           30
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       70           82           62           80
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  8                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  8         W  7         W  8
Precip amount                    0.33         0.12         0.04         0.00
Precip duration                     9            2            2            1
Precip begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing         5 PM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         9 PM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)               96           54          100           52
Haines Index                        3            3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         7060            0         6490
Transport wind (kt)             SE  9         W 16         W 15         W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       112960            0       129800
Dispersion Index                    0          113            0          130
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-180900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
1033 PM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                    100           70           40            0
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Min/Max Temp                       65           79           60           77
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  8                     SW  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW  6      Lgt/Var         W  9
Precip amount                    0.20         0.42         0.08         0.00
Precip duration                     8            7            2
Precip begin                     8 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         9 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)               92           64          100           57
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         5240           40         6370
Transport wind (kt)             SE  7        SW 10         W 10         W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        52400          400       108290
Dispersion Index                    0           52            0          108
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 70s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$



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