Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 221016
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
516 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TODAY AND PROVIDE ONE
MORE DAY OF DRY WEATHER. INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING A
SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
SOARING TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE. ALONG WITH THE WARMTH A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY. A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND PRODUCE RAIN ON
WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY STRONG WINDS AND A FEW LIGHT RAIN OR WET SNOW
SHOWERS FOR CHRISTMAS DAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-222115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
516 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           50
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       38           33           48
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  9                     SE  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  7        SE  7        SE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               9 AM
PRECIP END                                                 5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           88           74
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2170          960         1740
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 13         S 16         S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               28210        15360        34800
DISPERSION INDEX                   28           15           35
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-222115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
516 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       37           31           48
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10                     SE 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10        SE 11         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               8 AM
PRECIP END                                                12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54           87           70
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2330          680         2100
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 14         S 19         S 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               32620        12920        58800
DISPERSION INDEX                   33           13           59
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-222115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
516 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       37           33           49
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  9                     SE 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10        SE 10        SE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 AM         9 AM
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         2 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           86           72
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2590         1000         1850
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 20         S 23         S 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51800        23000        40700
DISPERSION INDEX                   52           23           41
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-222115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
516 AM EST MON DEC 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE   SLEET/RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       35           30           44
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  5                     SE 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6        SE  8        SE 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  3 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           92           77
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2820          480         1900
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 22        SE 23        SE 27
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               62040        11040        51300
DISPERSION INDEX                   62           11           51
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WINDY. SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$







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