Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 130835
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
435 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING
MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CONTINUED UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL THEN KEEP AT LEAST SOME
ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS GOING RIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY...BEFORE DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER RETURNS FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-132115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
435 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       81           62           81
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 15                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 19        SW 12      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.13         0.08         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     4            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM         7 PM         4 PM
PRECIP END                       1 PM         4 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               62           89           47
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4500           70         6970
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 26        SW 21        SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              117000         1470        69700
DISPERSION INDEX                  117            1           70
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-132115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
435 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           62           79
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 13                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16        SW 10         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.19         0.08         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     6            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               65           96           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5460           70         7820
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 27        SW 20        SW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              147420         1400        93840
DISPERSION INDEX                  147            1           94
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-132115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
435 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           64           82
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 13                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 16        SW 11      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.15         0.08         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 AM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               62           89           49
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5690           70         7950
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 28        SW 21        SW  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              159320         1470        39750
DISPERSION INDEX                  159            1           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-132115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
435 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           62           78
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 15        SW  9         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.26         0.11         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     3            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               67           96           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3220           70         5780
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 25        SW 23         W  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               80500         1610        40460
DISPERSION INDEX                   81            2           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$







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