Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 220814
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
414 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2016

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL END BY
MIDDAY FOR AREAS CLOSER TO THE LAKES, AND BY LATER THIS EVENING
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING A
RETURN TO DRY WEATHER FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH STEADILY WARMING
TEMPERATURES. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO 25
TO 30 PERCENT ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY INLAND FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
A PERIOD OF SUMMER WARMTH WILL ARRIVE FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEK ALONG WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY AND A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-222115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
414 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       70           50           78
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  7      LGT/VAR        NW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      12 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               49           91           27
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5110           70         7890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 14         N 12        NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               71540          840        94680
DISPERSION INDEX                   72            1           95
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-222115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
414 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       64           45           74
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  7      LGT/VAR         N  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         9 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               55          100           31
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5850           70         8010
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 14         N 13         N 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               81900          910       104130
DISPERSION INDEX                   82            1          104
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-222115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
414 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       68           50           77
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  7      LGT/VAR         N 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               53           95           28
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5740           70         8070
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 14         N 11         N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               80360          770       121050
DISPERSION INDEX                   80            1          121
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-222115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
414 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       71           48           77
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  6      LGT/VAR         N  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               51          100           32
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8380           70         8060
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 14         N 12         N 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              117320          840        88660
DISPERSION INDEX                  117            1           89
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


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