Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 281027
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
527 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSING QUEBEC THIS MORNING IS STEERING A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. FOLLOWING THE FRONT...ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL BRING COOLING
TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL HELP IT FEEL MUCH MORE LIKE MID-WINTER
THROUGH THE COMING WEEK WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF A
CHANCE OF SOME WEAK LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-282115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
527 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       38           25           30
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 14                     NW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11         W  9        NW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       9 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           78           47
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5120          670         5650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 16         W 12         W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               81920         8040        90400
DISPERSION INDEX                   82            8           90
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-282115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
527 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS     FRZ DRZL         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       38           22           29
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 12                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9         W  8        NW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     3            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM        12 AM
PRECIP END                      12 PM         3 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               68           84           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4780         1420         5780
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15         W 13        NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               71700        18460        75140
DISPERSION INDEX                   72           18           75
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
527 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       41           25           30
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 15                      W 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 13         W  7        NW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      10 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           78           46
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5090          250         5850
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 17         W 15         W 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               86530         3750       111150
DISPERSION INDEX                   87            4          111
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
527 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       39           20           29
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                      W 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11         W  7        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     3            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM        12 AM
PRECIP END                      12 PM         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               64           85           42
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4940          830         6040
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 17         W 14         W 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               83980        11620       114760
DISPERSION INDEX                   84           12          115
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. LOWS AROUND
19.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED FLURRIES. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 18. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN AND FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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