Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 241045
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
545 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS A WARM FRONT CROSSES WESTERN AND
NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK. THE WARMING TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH
INCREASINGLY STRONG WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL ACCELERATE MELTING
OF RECENT HEAVY SNOWS...CREATING A SIGNIFICANT FLOODING RISK ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION THIS EVENING...BRINGING A RETURN OF MORE WINTER-LIKE
TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SNOW BY LATER IN THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-242115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
545 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           60           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         SNOW
MAX/MIN TEMP                       63           35           38
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 21                     SW 23
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 25        SW 28        SW 21
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.06         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         8 PM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           89           66
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4020          750         5200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 36        SW 39         W 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              144720        29250       145600
DISPERSION INDEX                  145           29          146
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-242115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
545 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS   SNOW/FZ RA
MAX/MIN TEMP                       58           31           36
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 21                     SW 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 24        SW 23        SW 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.04         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     6            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING        10 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        10 PM         6 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               68           86           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5100          620         4960
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 38        SW 40         W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              193800        24800       124000
DISPERSION INDEX                  194           25          124
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-242115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
545 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           36           42
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 21                     SW 19
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 23        SW 23        SW 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     3            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        10 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58           78           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4140           60         6030
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 31        SW 29        SW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              128340         1740       156780
DISPERSION INDEX                  128            2          157
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-242115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
545 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           60           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS   SNOW/FZ RA
MAX/MIN TEMP                       63           36           42
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 19                     SW 16
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 18        SW 19        SW 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.18         0.08         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     6            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           89           62
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2750            0         5980
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 23         S 25        SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               63250            0       143520
DISPERSION INDEX                   63            0          144
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW OR
DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. LOWS AROUND 30.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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