Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 280847
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD
TO JAMES BAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CIRCULATE RECORD
BREAKING WARMTH ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY...BEFORE ITS TRAILING COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ALONG WITH A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. PROGRESSIVELY
COLDER WEATHER WILL THEN FOLLOW FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WITH
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSING THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AND POTENTIALLY BRINGING THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OF THE
SEASON.

NYZ001-002-010-011-282115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       76           48           53
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18        SW 13         W 20
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.13         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        10 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           93           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5650           70         6400
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 34         W 23         W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              192100         1610       185600
DISPERSION INDEX                  192            2          186
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-282115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       75           45           52
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 13                     SW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 17        SW 10         W 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.31         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     1            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           95           56
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5990           70         6520
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 35         W 15         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              209650         1050       169520
DISPERSION INDEX                  210            1          170
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       77           49           56
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 11                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 14        SW 10         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.27         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM
PRECIP END                                    1 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           93           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 3            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6420           70         6920
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 30        SW 20         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              192600         1400       179920
DISPERSION INDEX                  193            1          180
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       73           49           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 12         S 11         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.35         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         7 PM         5 PM
PRECIP END                      10 AM         4 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           90           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 3            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4080           70         6890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 24         S 20         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               97920         1400       179140
DISPERSION INDEX                   98            1          179
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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