Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 180939
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
539 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS WILL SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CROSS THE
REGION. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH A POTENTIAL FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN LATE
TONIGHT. COOL TEMPERATURES AND SHOWERY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF
THE COMING WEEK AS ANOTHER POTENT UPPER LOW DIVES ACROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-182115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
539 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           36           48
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 15                     NW 14
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 17        NW 18        NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       4 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               70           79           48
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4920         2630         5270
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 21        NW 19        NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              103320        49970       105400
DISPERSION INDEX                  103           50          105
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-182115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
539 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           60            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           34           46
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                     NW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 14        NW 14        NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.23         0.08         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    11            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               73           90           49
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5360         3180         5080
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 21        NW 24        NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              112560        76320       106680
DISPERSION INDEX                  113           76          107
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-182115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
539 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           50           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS     FRZ DRZL
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           36           47
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                     NW 16
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 17        NW 17        NW 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.06         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     6            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               70           86           46
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5090         2970         6300
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 21        NW 23        NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              106890        68310       132300
DISPERSION INDEX                  107           68          132
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-182115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
539 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           60           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS     FRZ DRZL
MAX/MIN TEMP                       57           34           46
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                     NW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 12        NW 12        NW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.20         0.08         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     9            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               70           95           46
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5270         2760         6630
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 17        NW 20        NW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               89590        55200        99450
DISPERSION INDEX                   90           55           99
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$







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