Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 310830
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGED FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO NEW YORK STATE
WILL KEEP DRY AND QUIET WEATHER ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH MOST OF
TODAY. A NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN BRING PERIODIC OPPORTUNITIES FOR SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ONWARD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH MUCH OF THE TIME WILL STILL
BE RAIN FREE.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-312100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
430 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           60           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       83           60           79
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 12        SW 10         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.04         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM         1 PM
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               37           95           46
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            4
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)             10000           70         8880
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 26        SW 25         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              260000         1750       177600
DISPERSION INDEX                  260            2          178
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-312100-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
430 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           58           77
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10         W  9         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.03         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM         3 PM
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               36           97           47
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 1            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)             10850           70         9630
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 22        SW 16         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              238700         1120       192600
DISPERSION INDEX                  239            1          193
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-312100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
430 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           62           79
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  8                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9        SW  7         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.04         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                  9 PM         3 PM
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               36           92           47
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            4
LAL                                 1            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)             10590           70         9740
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 21         W 19         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              222390         1330       175320
DISPERSION INDEX                  222            1          175
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-312100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
430 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       80           59           77
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  8                     SW  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        SW  6         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.06         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                  8 PM         3 PM
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               42           98           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8660           70         8970
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 21        SW 11         W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              181860          770       188370
DISPERSION INDEX                  182            1          188
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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