Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 280533
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
133 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL DRIFT EAST
OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW A WEAK WARM FRONT TO LIFT ACROSS OUR
REGION OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A PREFRONTAL TROUGH AND TRAILING
WEAK COOL FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN THE PROCESS...OUR
REGION CAN EXPECT A COUPLE ROUNDS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE NEXT ROUND OF
FAIR WEATHER WILL THEN MOVE IN FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WHEN HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-280900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
133 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           70           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       66           88           62           81
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  7                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                                 W 10         W  7         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.20         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     2 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        10 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               92           54           95           42
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         5650           70         5960
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  9        SW 17        SW 16         N  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 630        96050         1120        53640
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           96            1           54
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-280900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
133 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           60           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       66           87           60           81
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S  6                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                                SW  7         W  5         N  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.17         0.06         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            5            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        10 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               98           50          100           42
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         6830           70         6990
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 11        SW 16         W 12         N 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 770       109280          840        69900
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          109            1           70
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-280900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
133 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           70           60            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       66           90           64           81
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S  8                     NW  5
PM WIND (MPH)                                 W  7         W  5        NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.29         0.15         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            6            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               94           49           96           41
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         6890           70         7040
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  8         W 15         W 14         N 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 560       103350          980        70400
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          103            1           70
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-280900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
133 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016

                            OVERNIGHT          SUN    SUN NIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           60           60            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       64           86           61           80
AM WIND (MPH)                                 S  7                     NW  5
PM WIND (MPH)                                SW  9        SW  5        NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.17         0.18         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                  7 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         1 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               97           56          100           42
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         5570           70         6550
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  7        SW 18        SW 16        NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 490       100260         1120        85150
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          100            1           85
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$



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