Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 230844
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE TRACKING NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT
ACROSS OUR REGION THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL LINGER BEHIND THE
FRONT TONIGHT...THEN DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST ON FRIDAY AS DRIER
AIR WORKS EAST ACROSS THE AREA. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ALSO FOLLOW THE
FRONT TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-232115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       68           40           57
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13                      N 15
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        NW 14        NW 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.14         0.24         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     5           12            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               67           93           37
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 3            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4830          250         6230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 21         W 17         N 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              101430         4250       118370
DISPERSION INDEX                  101            4          118
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-232115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           80
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       68           39           53
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12                      N 14
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        NW 10         N 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.27         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                     6           12            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               66           96           41
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 3            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5300          670         5230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         W 14         N 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               90100         9380       104600
DISPERSION INDEX                   90            9          105
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-232115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           80
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       71           42           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9                      N 16
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 12        NW 11        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.26         0.25         0.11
PRECIP DURATION                     5           12            7
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         4 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           91           42
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4750          160         6230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 16         W 14         N 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               76000         2240       124600
DISPERSION INDEX                   76            2          125
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-232115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
444 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           80
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       69           42           57
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                      N 14
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        NW  9         N 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.43         0.23         0.12
PRECIP DURATION                     7           12            6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         6 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               71           92           45
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4280           90         6500
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 16         W 14         N 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               68480         1260       123500
DISPERSION INDEX                   68            1          124
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$







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