Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 010839
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
439 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING WILL EXTEND NORTH
TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THIS WILL PROVIDE
THE BULK OF OUR REGION WITH FAIR DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...A ROBUST MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD TOUCH OFF A SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN
BRING A HIGHER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL USHER IN A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS
FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-012115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
439 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           58           83
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  8                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 16        SW 10        SW 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           88           40
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9380            0         6890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 17        SW 11        SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              159460            0       158470
DISPERSION INDEX                  159            0          158
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-012115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
439 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       76           55           82
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  5                     SW  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 12         W  8        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        12 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               43           91           38
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7990            0         7200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 16        SW  5        SW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              127840            0       108000
DISPERSION INDEX                  128            0          108
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-012115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
439 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           59           84
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  8                     SW  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 14        SW  8        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           86           39
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7830            0         8390
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 16         W  9         W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              125280            0       142630
DISPERSION INDEX                  125            0          143
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-012115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
439 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       77           56           82
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 13        SW  7        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        12 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           94           45
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8210           40         7850
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 15        SW  6        SW 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              123150          240       149150
DISPERSION INDEX                  123            0          149
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$

RSH



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