Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 281733
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
133 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION TODAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND
OHIO VALLEY REGIONS. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING MOISTURE AND
RAIN SHOWERS BACK TO THE REGION ALONG AND SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO THIS
EVENING AND THROUGH THE NIGHT. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL THEN REMAIN
OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-282100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
133 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       74           54           63
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10         E  9         E 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.14         0.44
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  8 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               33           94           72
HAINES INDEX                        5            3            2
LAL                                 1            3            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9390            0         2510
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 18        NE  5         E  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              169020            0         7530
DISPERSION INDEX                  169            0            8
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-282100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
133 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           60           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       70           52           62
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  9         E  6         E 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.27         0.71
PRECIP DURATION                                  4           12
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               35          100           73
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            2
LAL                                 3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9020            0          390
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 18        SE 16         E  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              162360            0         2730
DISPERSION INDEX                  162            0            3
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
133 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       75           53           64
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6                      E  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  9         E  9         E  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.16         0.38
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               32          100           63
HAINES INDEX                        5            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9210            0         3730
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 16         E 15         E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              147360            0        37300
DISPERSION INDEX                  147            0           37
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
133 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       74           47           68
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  6                      E  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  8         E  7         E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                              10 AM
PRECIP END                                                 6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               37          100           45
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9510            0            0
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 13         E 12         E 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              123630            0            0
DISPERSION INDEX                  124            0            0
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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