Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

000
FNUS51 KBUF 220849
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
449 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

.DISCUSSION...

A SOUTHWEST FLOW OF WARM AND HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF
THE WEEK. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THURSDAY...AS MOIST UNSTABLE AIR INTERACTS WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. NOTICEABLY COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
ON FRIDAY.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-222115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
449 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           60           80
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       83           62           70
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                     SW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10        SW 10         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.13         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                     2            9           10
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54           88           63
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5030          120         5140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 14        SW 15        SW 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               70420         1800        97660
DISPERSION INDEX                   70            2           98
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-222115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
449 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           80
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       81           60           71
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        SW  9         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.11         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                     3            9           10
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54           91           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5310          160         6840
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 18        SW 20        SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               95580         3200       109440
DISPERSION INDEX                   96            3          109
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-222115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
449 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           80
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       87           63           74
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  5                     SW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8        SW  9         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.12         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                     2            8           10
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           87           58
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5940          110         7340
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 10        SW 11        SW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               59400         1210       110100
DISPERSION INDEX                   59            1          110
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-222115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
449 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           80
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       81           62           72
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6         S  6        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.16         0.32
PRECIP DURATION                     1            8           10
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           95           67
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5800           90         5920
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 10         S  9        SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               58000          810       100640
DISPERSION INDEX                   58            1          101
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$