Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 050834
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...

SOME LIMITED LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN
TIER THIS MORNING AND EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO TONIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS. A COLD FRONT MAY BRING A FEW MORE
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTH COUNTRY. A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING
SOMEWHAT MORE ACTIVE WEATHER NEXT WEEK WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
MAINLY LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK FOLLOWED BY
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BY LATE IN THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-052115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
334 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40            0            0
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       34           26           39
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  7                     SW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9        SW  8        SW 20
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               58           83           58
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6160          100         5130
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 14         W 13        SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               86240         1300       128250
DISPERSION INDEX                   86            1          128
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-052115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
334 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70            0            0
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       31           20           38
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  8                     SW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11         W  7        SW 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               59           86           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6330          360         4980
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15        SW 10        SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               94950         3600       104580
DISPERSION INDEX                   95            4          105
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-052115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
334 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0            0
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       34           23           42
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 12         W  7        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       4 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               53           85           49
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6530          310         6540
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 19         W 11        SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              124070         3410       150420
DISPERSION INDEX                  124            3          150
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-052115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
334 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       32           19           38
AM WIND (MPH)                    N  8                     SW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 10         W  5        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.04         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                 11 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                    5 AM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               56           95           59
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5320          180         6850
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 14        SW  6        SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               74480         1080       164400
DISPERSION INDEX                   74            1          164
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
AROUND 14. HIGHS AROUND 19.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


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