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Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

000
FNUS71 KBUF 181216
FWSBUF

SPOT FORECAST FOR IROQUOIS J FIELDS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
816 AM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN QUEBEC TODAY WILL SETTLE SOUTH TO THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MEANWHILE A BAND OF MID
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP A GOOD AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER OVER THE
AREA TODAY. LIGHT EAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE AND TEND TO BECOME MORE EAST
NORTHEAST. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AT SUNSET THIS EVENING AND BECOME
MORE EAST SOUTHEAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 54 (AVERAGE).
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)          12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............67  64  62  62  63  64
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67  69  71  72  73  72
RH..................40  38  37  35  35  36
20 FT WIND DIR......E   SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   6   7   10  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....                    20
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   4   4   3
SMK DISPERSION......35  38  40  48  54  52
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MIN 0 (POOR).
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............65  66  67  68  70  72  73  75  76  77  78  79
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................70  68  65  64  62  60  60  59  59  58  57  56
RH..................38  41  45  49  53  56  58  60  62  67  73  81
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD......14  13  12  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  15  15  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
SMK DISPERSION......37  18  3   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....MAX 55 (AVERAGE).
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............80  81  81  80  78  76  74  71  70  69  66  63
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................55  56  58  62  68  72  75  77  78  79  79  79
RH..................87  88  85  76  66  58  55  53  52  50  50  50
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....                                        10  10
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMK DISPERSION......3   5   8   12  13  13  18  27  37  46  53  55
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$

FORECASTER...HITCHCOCK
REQUESTED BY...PAUL HESS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130518.IROQU.01/BUF