Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
924
FNUS54 KEPZ 132000
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
200 PM MDT Mon May 13 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Elevated fire danger on Tuesday and very dry conditions and light
southwest winds. Afternoon RH 6-12% with peak winds 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke ventilation will be Excellent with transport to the ENE.
Slight uptick in southwest flow Wednesday and Thursday resulting
in near-critical fire danger. No fire headlines are expected at
this time as winds remain just below critical thresholds. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon, primarily
over LNF. This will pose a risk of dry lightning starts. Breezy
winds again Sunday/Monday as temperatures warm further. No
precipitation expected over the desert lowlands over the next 7
days.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-141345-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
200 PM MDT Mon May 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....43-48.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....14-18 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......12600-14200 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (198600 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....43-48.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....14-18 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (197100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs around 80. West
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-141345-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
200 PM MDT Mon May 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....51-55.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....85-89.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10300 ft AGL increasing to 15100 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (203100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....53-57.
* Max humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....83-88.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 10 mph increasing
to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL increasing to 14000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (229500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90. West
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-141345-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
200 PM MDT Mon May 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....52-57.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (232100 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....55-60.
* Max humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph becoming north
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....85-90.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 10 mph increasing
to southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (238700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-141345-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
200 PM MDT Mon May 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....42-47.
* Below 7500 ft....48-53.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....67-72.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....12-16 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......13100 ft AGL increasing to 15200 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (218900 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....44-49.
* Below 7500 ft....50-55.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph becoming northwest
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......11700 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (231100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. North
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
West winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-141345-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
200 PM MDT Mon May 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-61.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....88-92.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........7-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9600 ft AGL increasing to 15400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (192500 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....60-64.
* Max humidity........19-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-91.
* Min humidity........7-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 10 mph increasing
to southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (230300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-141345-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
200 PM MDT Mon May 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....54-58.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL increasing to 15800 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (216200 knot-ft).
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-61.
* Max humidity........21-25 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (235600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
Dennhardt