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000
FNUS73 KGRB 231527
FWSGRB

Spot Forecast for 224 Oak Understory...WI-MEA
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1027 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Ahead of a sharp cold front, mostly clear to partly
cloudy skies will prevail into early this afternoon, before
convective clouds start building. Chances for rain will likely
hold off until the 3 to 5 pm time frame, and most likely in the 4
to 5 pm time frame with arrival of the cold front.

Ahead of the front, temperatures will warm quickly which will lead
to high mixing heights this afternoon. The high mixing heights
will lead to gusty west winds from 20 to 25 mph developing by late
morning, or around the ignition time. These gusty winds will
persist into the afternoon. Winds will quickly shift to the north
around the 4-5 pm hour as the cold front passes.

There should be sufficient heating for temps to rise into the
middle or upper 60s prior to the cold front arriving. The good
mixing will support humidity levels falling into the lower 20s
this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusts up to 23 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 23 mph shifting to the north around
                    21 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (118800 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    excellent (69900 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  37  46  52  59  75  91
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC LKY
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH
Temp............63  64  65  65  64  61  56
RH..............24  23  22  22  26  36  47
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.20  22  23  23  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...7.1 9.0 9.7 10  9.1 6.3 3.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  N
Transp wind spd.21  23  23  22  20  22  21
SDspl kt-ft/1000129 180 195 198 155 119 70

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    evening, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 22 mph shifting to the northeast 12
                    to 13 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (50100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (10900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........85  78  63  48  37  26  17  9   7   4   2   2
Weather cov.....LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC
Temp............54  49  46  42  38  36  35  34  33  31  31  30
RH..............46  50  49  53  54  56  56  56  53  58  58  60
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  10  9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.22  23  24  24  25  24  22  21  18  17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.2 1.9 2.6 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  N
Transp wind spd.18  20  21  22  22  21  17  17  15  13  12  13
SDspl kt-ft/100041  37  35  50  46  34  27  24  15  13  11  13

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (32100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3   3   4   5   4   3   3   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............30  31  33  36  41  44  46  48  49  50  51  51
RH..............60  56  51  42  33  28  25  24  23  22  22  23
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   6   6   5   5   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.16  16  15  13  10  8   7   8   8   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.7 5.0 5.2 5.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NW
Transp wind spd.13  14  14  13  12  10  8   7   6   6   7   7
SDspl kt-ft/100013  25  30  31  30  32  28  28  25  26  32  26

$$
Forecaster...MPC
Requested by...Curtis Wayka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411746.1/GRB
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL curtisw@mtewood.com