Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
930
FNUS52 KILM 011934
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
334 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will build in from the west tonight then move
overhead on Thursday. Offshore high pressure will take over for
the weekend, keeping a moist onshore flow in play through the
weekend. A series of fronts will bring unsettled weather to the
area this weekend, followed by drier weather early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-021145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
334 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 86 60 86
Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 100 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/1000 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 58000
ADI Early 27 Fair 21 Fair 30 Fair 26 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 0 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 1 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-021145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
334 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 61 87 61 87
Max/Min RH (%) 100 40 100 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/1000 2000 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62100 54000
ADI Early 35 Fair 20 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good 23 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 66 Good 5 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 1 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-021145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
334 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None None
LAL 3 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 85 61 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/1000 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 53000
ADI Early 22 Fair 20 Gen Poor 34 Fair 26 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 0 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 0 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-021145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
334 PM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 3 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 88 61 86
Max/Min RH (%) 100 41 100 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/1000 2000 67/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 6100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62100 54900
ADI Early 33 Fair 23 Fair 52 Gen Good 27 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 70 Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 1 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner