- Warnings
- Observations
- Forecasts
- Text Messages
- Forecast Models
- Climate
- Weather Safety
- Education/Outreach
- Information Center
- Contact Us
RSS Feeds
Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 151849
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
249 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore will keep the area quite warm and generally
rain-free for the next several days. Some slightly higher relative
humidity values are slated for the mid to late week period.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-161100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
249 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 60 88 59 83
Max/Min RH (%) 85 38 89 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 4 S 5 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Fair Poor
Haines Index 5 4 5
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600
ADI Early 39 Fair 25 Fair 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 66 Good 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3
Max LVORI Late 4 1 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northeast winds 15 to
20 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
249 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 61 88 61 84
Max/Min RH (%) 81 39 84 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 5
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75400
ADI Early 86 Good 21 Fair 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 77 Good 53 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 2
Max LVORI Late 4 1 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 84 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
249 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 87 61 82
Max/Min RH (%) 85 35 90 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 G17 Lgt/Var SW 4 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 5 Lgt/Var S 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 77000
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 27 Fair 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 79 Good 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3
Max LVORI Late 4 1 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
249 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 58 87 59 84
Max/Min RH (%) 81 36 85 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 5 4 5
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74200
ADI Early 92 Good 22 Fair 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 81 Good 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 2
Max LVORI Late 4 1 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Buffalo, NY Weather Forecast Office
- 587 Aero Drive
- Cheektowaga, NY 14225
- 716-565-0204
- Page Author: BUF Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: buf.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC