Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
393
FNUS52 KILM 061921
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur this afternoon and
evening, becoming more isolated Tue. Dry high pressure will build
overhead Tue with well above normal temperatures Tue through Thu.
A strong cold front will bring showers and thunderstorm late Thu
into Fri followed by high pressure and cooler temps next weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-071130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
321 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 3 2 3
Min/Max Temp 65 88 68 92
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 94 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 G18 SW 8
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 8 G18 SW 6 G17 SW 11 G19
Precip Amount 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0900 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5400
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 W 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94000 113400
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 69 Good 64 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 94 Good 9 Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Breezy. Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance
of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Cooler.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-071130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 60 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 65 89 69 93
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 95 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 SW 8 G17 SW 6 SW 10 G19
Precip Amount 0.38 0.06 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 3 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 21 W 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98700 121900
ADI Early 31 Fair 52 Gen Good 66 Good 62 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 107 Very Good7 Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 8 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 76 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-071130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
321 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 60 20 0 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 65 88 68 93
Max/Min RH (%) 100 54 95 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 5 SW 6 G17 SW 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 G18 SW 5 SW 10 G19
Precip Amount 0.14 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 4 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0900 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86700 106000
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 56 Gen Good 66 Good 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 93 Good 7 Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-071130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
321 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 2 1 3
Min/Max Temp 64 89 68 93
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 95 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 SW 5 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.27 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 3 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5200
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 W 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88200 114400
ADI Early 21 Fair 52 Gen Good 73 Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 101 Very Good7 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 8 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
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