Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
812
FNUS72 KILM 011015
FWSILM
Spot Forecast for Dog Pen Block at Sallys Ridge...SCHTP
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
615 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain east of the area
this afternoon, associated with the sea breeze. The sea breeze
will not affect the unit. Winds will remain light and changeable
throughout the day.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Max mixing hgt......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to
9 mph late in the morning.
Max vent rate.......Fair (48324 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........8.
Max ADI.............60.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54 50 46 39 32 34 36 38 39 40 40
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............62 64 68 72 75 78 80 82 83 84 84
RH..............100 99 91 81 72 62 52 49 45 42 43
20 FT wind dir..SW W W W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.2 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.9 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.9 5.2
Transp wind dir.SW W W W NW W W NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7
Stability.......A B B A A A A A A A A
LVORI...........8 5 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............8 14 15 23 32 46 55 60 54 58 45
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3 11 12 18 25 36 44 48 43 48 36
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR
Sfc pres (in)...984 988 988 988 989 989 989 985 985 985 981
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 7 to 9
mph in the late evening and overnight.
Min vent rate.......Poor (2584 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........9.
Min ADI.............3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33 25 18 16 13 11 9 8 6 11 16 21
Weather cov..... PTY PTY
Weather type.... FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............83 82 77 73 71 68 67 66 65 64 64 63
RH..............44 53 62 73 80 88 92 95 99 99 99 100
20 FT wind dir..N E SE SE S S S S N N N N
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 0 0 0 0
20 FT wind gust.4 3 2 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW NW N S S S S S S S SW SW
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 7 8 7 8
Stability.......A F F F F F F F F F F F
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 5 6 6 9 9 9 9
ADI.............43 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 4
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.34 13 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Sfc pres (in)...981 981 982 982 982 986 986 986 987 987 987 988
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy fog early in the
morning.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Max mixing hgt......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast 7 to
9 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
east 9 to 10 mph late in the morning shifting
to the southeast around 10 mph late in the
afternoon.
Max vent rate.......Good (63158 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........9.
Max ADI.............77.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........22 18 6 4 11 18
Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............63 65 74 81 85 86
RH..............100 94 68 53 43 41
20 ft wind......N 0 N 1 NE 2 NE 3 E 4 SE 4
20 ft wind gust.2 2 4 6 7 7
Mix hgt (ft)....400 500 1500 4700 6600 6100
Transport wind..W 7 NW 8 NE 9 E 9 E 9 SE 10
Stability.......F A A A A A
LVORI...........9 6 3 1 1 1
ADI.............3 8 18 55 74 77
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3 4 14 44 61 63
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD
Sfc pres (in)...29.88 29.92 29.92 29.94 29.90 29.90
$$
Forecaster...Lebo
Requested by...Johnny Stowe
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412865.0/ILM
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stowej@dnr.sc.gov