Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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075
FNUS72 KJAX 081714
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for JaxReady Fest Load Day...JFRD
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
114 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 EDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY EVENING...
...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Dry and hot weather will prevail through Thursday afternoon.
High temperatures will soar to the mid 90s on Thursday afternoon,
with heat index values around 100 degrees forecast.
Southwesterly winds will become breezy during the late morning
hours on Thursday, with sustained wind speeds increasing to
15-20 mph by early afternoon, with frequent gusts of 20-30 mph
expected through around sunset.

A squall line of strong to severe thunderstorms may approach
downtown Jacksonville towards sunset on Thursday from the north.
Forecast confidence remains low to medium with regards to this
potential, but this line could contain damaging wind gusts of
50-70 mph, hail, isolated tornadoes and frequent lightning
strikes as it potentially crosses the Interstate 10 corridor
just after sunset.

Another round of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms will
impact downtown Jacksonville on Friday. Timing of this activity
remains in question at this time, but the potential for isolated
severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts of
50-70 mph, hail, isolated tornadoes, and frequent lightning
strikes exists through the afternoon hours before this activity
pushes south of the area towards sunset on Friday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  18  18  19  20  22
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............78  78  76  75  75  74
RH..............71  71  76  82  82  84
Heat index (F)..83  79  77  76  75  75
Surface wnd dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.9   8   8   8   8   7
Surface wnd gst.14  13  13  13  13  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   9   10  12

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  22  22  18  14  10  10  11  12  15  18  21
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  74  76  80  84  87  89  91  93  94  94  94
RH..............87  87  82  69  59  52  47  42  38  37  36  36
Heat index (F)..73  75  75  78  88  91  94  96  98  99  99  100
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.7   7   8   10  13  15  16  16  16  17  18  18
Surface wnd gst.10  10  13  16  20  23  24  24  24  26  28  28
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  14  15  17  20  21  22  22  22  22  21  21

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22  23  25  31  38  45  49  59  70  67  65  63
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Temp............92  90  88  86  83  81  79  78  76  76  75  75
RH..............41  45  50  55  65  72  79  82  90  90  94  94
Heat index (F)..98  95  93  90  88  85  84  78  77  76  76  75
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.17  17  16  14  12  9   9   8   8   8   7   7
Surface wnd gst.26  26  24  21  17  14  14  13  13  13  10  10
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  18  17  16  15  14  14  14  15  15  14  14

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  68  74  74  74  74  74  74  92  92  92  92
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  50  50  50  50  50  50  70  70  70  70
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............75  75  76  78  82  85  88  90  91  91  89  87
RH..............94  97  94  88  74  67  61  56  54  54  56  59
Heat index (F)..75  76  76  78  79  86  87  90  91  91  90  90
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.7   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  14  15  15  15
Surface wnd gst.10  10  13  14  16  17  20  21  21  23  23  23
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  15  16  18  22  25  28  29  29  26

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Amanda Richardson
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2413515.0/JAX
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cwo@coj.net