Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
299 FXUS65 KLKN 172147 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 247 PM PDT Wed Apr 17 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Warm and dry weather across the region is expected for the rest of week. A transition to an active weather pattern occurs early next week as a low pressure system begins to move across the western U.S. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday night A trough of low pressure is clipping across northern NV with a weak cold front moving across the state. Breezy winds out of the west- northwest will remain elevated through the evening hours and expected to diminish late tonight. By Thursday, the trough exits east with zonal flow over the region, bringing warm and dry conditions for much of the day. Afternoon highs will warm into the mid to upper 60s, with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be breezy out of the west- northwest at 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph possible in central NV. .LONG TERM...Friday through Wednesday A weak weather disturbance within a broad west-northwest flow pattern will interact with some atmospheric moisture to bring a some instability showers to portions of White Pine county Friday afternoon. Little to no rainfall is expected in valleys with less than a 10% chance of any precipitation. Otherwise, dry condtions overall with partly cloudy skies each day are expected through the weekend. Temperatures will warm from the 60s Friday to the mid 70s for many valleys early next week. Lows will drop into the 30s and 40s through the weekend. Breezy west winds will persist through the weekend as well but should diminish during the overnight hours. A transition to a more active weather pattern occurs Tuesday of next week as a troughing pattern begins to set up across the western U.S. However, overall moisture will be lacking with PWAT values in the 0.3 to 0.5 inch range. However, southwest advection of Pacific moisture will lead to more widespread convective showers and possible thunderstorms by midweek. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions expected for all terminals over the next 24 hour period. FEW to SCT mid and upper-level clouds are expected but dry conditions will persist through Wednesday. A noticeable north to northwest winds around 10 knots with gusts to 20 knots this afternoon will transition to more northeasterly this evening across the area. Winds are expected to diminish at all TAF sites around midnight through the early morning hours Thursday. && .HYDROLOGY...Many streams, creeks and rivers across northern and central Nevada have elevated flows. Dry conditions are expected the remainder of the week, however temperatures will be trending warmer which will again help to accelerate the melting of the remaining mid and high elevation snowpack. The Bruneau River is currently in action stage, with the flow expected to slowly rise, possibly up to the low end of minor flood stage tonight. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in action stage and expected to slowly rise, but remain below minor flood stage for the remainder of the week. Marys River above Hot Springs Creek near Deeth is currently entering action stage, and expected to slowly rise tonight but not reach flood stage. The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and expected to gradually rise tonight, but remain below minor flood stage. The Owyhee River near Mountain City is expected to remain around 8.0 feet (the low end of minor flood stage) over the next several days. Wildhorse Dam is currently at action stage and is expected to gradually rise, but remain below minor flood stage over the coming days. The flow Humboldt River at Comus continues to steadily rise. The forecast calls for the river stage to rise to action stage by Friday afternoon. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 90/93/93