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FNUS74 KLUB 250757
FWSLUB

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for River of Samson...TPWD
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
257 AM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on March 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

If you have questions or concerns with this forecast,
please contact our office at (806) 745-4926.

.DISCUSSION...
At the time of ignition winds will be out of the southwest around
10-15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. However a cold front will
quickly sweep south through the burn site between 8 am and 10 am
switching winds around to the northwest. Winds will remain breezy
through the day with sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts up to
35 mph. This front will also bring much colder air and some better
moisture to the burn site causing a bump up in relative humidity
after frontal passage. Relative humidity values will then slowly
fall in the afternoon bottoming out near 30 percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 20 to 25 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........15     5      5      25     50     70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............47     46     48     50     52     54
RH..............35     39     48     43     36     32
20 ft wind......SW 18  W 20   NW 18  NW 20  NW 20  NW 21
20 ft wind gust.25     23     24     28     31     33
Mix hgt (ft)....600    600    4400   4900   5400   6300
Transport wind..SW 26  W 25   W 36   NW 25  NW 28  NW 31
Haines index....6      5      5      5      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 20 mph decreasing to 6 to
                    10 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 31 mph decreasing to 13 to 21
                    mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     70     81     77     60     51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............52     44     41     38     37     36
RH..............33     43     50     59     59     64
20 ft wind......NW 20  NW 15  NW 12  NW 10  NW 9   NW 7
20 ft wind gust.30     22     18     18     16     13
Mix hgt (ft)....5800   3900   3200   2900   2200   1100
Transport wind..NW 31  NW 25  NW 23  NW 22  NW 18  N 15
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 17 mph shifting to the west
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........55     51     26     19     16     17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............33     32     42     48     54     57
RH..............72     72     46     34     28     27
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 6   N 8    N 7    N 7    N 6
20 ft wind gust.10     12     14     14     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1500   3300   4500   5600   6300
Transport wind..NW 12  NW 14  NW 17  NW 14  NW 10  W 10
Haines index....3      4      4      4      5      5

$$
Forecaster...IWASKO
Requested by...Bobby Schat
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408297.0/LUB
.DELDT 03/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bobby.schat@tpwd.texas.gov


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