Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
550
ACUS11 KWNS 032231
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032231
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-040000-
Mesoscale Discussion 0617
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0531 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024
Areas affected...Western and central Nebraska/Kansas border
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 032231Z - 040000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent
SUMMARY...Large hail and damaging winds are possible as storms
continue south-southeastward near the Kansas/Nebraska border. Though
low, a tornado could also occur with stronger, discrete storms. A
watch is possible within the next 1-2 hours.
DISCUSSION...Surface moisture continues to return into southern
Nebraska. Convection in the vicinity of North Platte has deepened
over the last 30 minutes as result. With an expected increase in
low-level southerly winds over the next few hours, low 50s F
dewpoints will likely push into southern Nebraska ahead of the
approaching cold front. Convection that can mature will likely be
sustained by the low-level jet. Large hail and damaging winds will
likely be the primary threats. Surface dewpoint depressions are
enough that the tornado threat should remain low. However, low-level
hodograph curvature will increase this evening and discrete storms
near the theta-e gradient will pose some tornado risk. A watch is
possible within the next 1-2 hours.
..Wendt.. 05/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...
LAT...LON 40820211 41210153 40869836 40299745 39699771 39209888
39100085 39320174 40050249 40820211